OC Tendencies · nektarinsights.com/octendencies · CFBD API 2020–2025
Joel Gordon
Auburn · SEC
Scouting Report
Balanced attack
51% run / 49% pass over 1,815 plays — keeps defenses honest with a near-even split.
3rd & Very Long: throws it
83% pass — 34pp more pass-oriented than the 49% career average (92 plays).
Goal Line: runs it
76% run — 25pp run-heavier than the 51% career average (124 plays).
Down Big: throws it
65% pass — 16pp more pass-oriented than the 49% career average (407 plays).
Career Timeline
Overall Split
51.0%
Run
49.0%
Pass
48.7%
Success Rate
1,815 plays
2-Min Pass %
55.2%
n=261
50% success
After Big Gain
55.6% run
n=232
49% success
After Sack
54.7% pass
n=53
45% success
Inside Opp 40
58.6% run
n=582
51% success
Middle 8
59.5% pass
n=301
50% success
Tendency Strength — What Defenses Study
How readable is each pattern? Higher = more predictable to opposing coordinators
Defenses will prep for this
Exploitability Index
Grade F (25/100) — biggest tell: predictability
Unpredictable — hard to game-plan
Composed under pressure
Highly adaptive to game flow
Opener differs from base
Steady tempo — hard to read
Run / Pass by Down
3rd Down by Distance
Run / Pass by Field Zone
EPA by Down
Game Script — How Play-Calling Shifts by Score
Run% and Pass% as the score differential changes — left = winning big, right = losing big
Year-over-Year Evolution
EPA / play
Situational Context
Post-Event Tendencies
Drive Opener by Zone
Advanced Analytics
Tempo — Pace of Play
Average seconds between plays (lower = faster tempo)
22.3s
Avg Pace
20.0s
Median
By Score State
Play Action
Play action usage rate and EPA comparison
0%
PA Rate
+0.000
PA EPA
+0.290
Non-PA EPA
889 pass plays
Explosive Plays
Rushes 15+ yards and passes 15+ yards as a percentage of total plays
9.5%
Rush Explosive
16.4%
Pass Explosive
12.9%
Overall
1,815 plays
Opening Script — Scripted Drives
Run/pass split on opening drives by half