OC Tendencies scouting report · October 28, 2026
Greg Stevens
OC · Utah Tech · Big Sky · 1,367 plays tracked
44%
Run %
56%
Pass %
+0.11
EPA per play
Utah Tech 2024–present (FCS)Southeastern Louisiana 2020–2023 (FCS)Eastern Illinois 2020–2020 (FCS)
Every play in this profile comes from FCS games, so it does not compare cleanly with FBS offenses.
Biggest splits vs his own average (descriptive, not a prediction)
Pass-first offense56% pass rate over 1,367 plays (2020–2025).
3rd & Long: throws it94% pass — 37pp more pass-oriented than the 56% career average (63 plays).
2-Min Drill: throws it77% pass — 20pp more pass-oriented than the 56% career average (209 plays).
After Big Gain: runs it63% run — 19pp run-heavier than the 44% career average (116 plays).
By down
1st down-0.03n=564
55% R
2nd down+0.03n=464
55% P
3rd down+0.40n=307
77% P
4th down+0.72n=32
72% P
3rd down by distance
Short (1-3)+0.56n=74
57% R
Medium (4-6)+0.41n=86
85% P
Long (7-9)+0.21n=63
94% P
Very Long (10+)+0.40n=84
86% P
Field zone
Own Territory+0.14n=1027
58% P
Midfield-0.09n=205
54% P
Red Zone-0.03n=79
52% P
Goal Line+0.53n=56
57% R
Game script
Up Close+0.18n=110
53% R
Tied+0.07n=215
54% P
Down Close+0.08n=339
57% P
Down Big+0.12n=682
58% P
Quick stats
2-Min Drill+0.0941%n=209
77% P
After Big Gain+0.1159%n=116
63% R
After Sack+0.2437%n=30
67% P
Inside Opp 40+0.0345%n=340
51% P
Middle 8+0.1142%n=260
60% P
Post-event reactions
Big Gain (15+)+0.11n=116
63% R
Big Gain (20+)+0.16n=68
71% R
Sack+0.24n=30
67% P
Negative Play+0.14n=108
69% P
Stuffed Run+0.22n=88
75% P
1st Down Tendency-0.03n=564
55% R
Drive openers by zone
Own Territory+0.03n=248
50% R
Midfield-0.16n=12
58% P
Red Zone-0.19n=4
100% R
Run/pass imbalance
3rd & Longpasses 94%
2-Minute Drillpasses 77%
After Sackpasses 67%
After Big Gainruns 63%
When Trailing Bigpasses 58%
Advanced intel
Tempo29.8s avg / 33.5s median
Explosive4.9% rush / 11.7% pass
1st Half Opening Drive57% pass (n=103)
2nd Half Opening Drive58% run (n=136)
Data via CFBD API · 2020–2025 seasons · nektarinsights.com/octendenciesFull profile →