← Greg Stevens profile

OC Tendencies scouting report · October 28, 2026

Greg Stevens

OC · Utah Tech · Big Sky · 1,367 plays tracked

44%

Run %

56%

Pass %

+0.11

EPA per play

Utah Tech 2024–present (FCS)Southeastern Louisiana 2020–2023 (FCS)Eastern Illinois 2020–2020 (FCS)

Every play in this profile comes from FCS games, so it does not compare cleanly with FBS offenses.

Biggest splits vs his own average (descriptive, not a prediction)

Pass-first offense56% pass rate over 1,367 plays (2020–2025).
3rd & Long: throws it94% pass — 37pp more pass-oriented than the 56% career average (63 plays).
2-Min Drill: throws it77% pass — 20pp more pass-oriented than the 56% career average (209 plays).
After Big Gain: runs it63% run — 19pp run-heavier than the 44% career average (116 plays).

By down

1st down
55% R
-0.03n=564
2nd down
55% P
+0.03n=464
3rd down
77% P
+0.40n=307
4th down
72% P
+0.72n=32

3rd down by distance

Short (1-3)
57% R
+0.56n=74
Medium (4-6)
85% P
+0.41n=86
Long (7-9)
94% P
+0.21n=63
Very Long (10+)
86% P
+0.40n=84

Field zone

Own Territory
58% P
+0.14n=1027
Midfield
54% P
-0.09n=205
Red Zone
52% P
-0.03n=79
Goal Line
57% R
+0.53n=56

Game script

Up Close
53% R
+0.18n=110
Tied
54% P
+0.07n=215
Down Close
57% P
+0.08n=339
Down Big
58% P
+0.12n=682

Quick stats

2-Min Drill
77% P
+0.0941%n=209
After Big Gain
63% R
+0.1159%n=116
After Sack
67% P
+0.2437%n=30
Inside Opp 40
51% P
+0.0345%n=340
Middle 8
60% P
+0.1142%n=260

Post-event reactions

Big Gain (15+)
63% R
+0.11n=116
Big Gain (20+)
71% R
+0.16n=68
Sack
67% P
+0.24n=30
Negative Play
69% P
+0.14n=108
Stuffed Run
75% P
+0.22n=88
1st Down Tendency
55% R
-0.03n=564

Drive openers by zone

Own Territory
50% R
+0.03n=248
Midfield
58% P
-0.16n=12
Red Zone
100% R
-0.19n=4

Run/pass imbalance

3rd & Longpasses 94%
2-Minute Drillpasses 77%
After Sackpasses 67%
After Big Gainruns 63%
When Trailing Bigpasses 58%

Advanced intel

Tempo29.8s avg / 33.5s median
Explosive4.9% rush / 11.7% pass
1st Half Opening Drive57% pass (n=103)
2nd Half Opening Drive58% run (n=136)
Data via CFBD API · 2020–2025 seasons · nektarinsights.com/octendenciesFull profile →