OC Tendencies
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OC Tendencies Scouting Report · September 13, 2026

Greg Stevens

OC · Utah Tech · Big Sky · 1,367 plays tracked

Run%

44%

Pass%

56%

EPA/Play

+0.11

Utah Tech 2024–present (FCS)Southeastern Louisiana 2020–2023 (FCS)Eastern Illinois 2020–2020 (FCS)

Key Findings

Pass-first offense56% pass rate over 1,367 plays — relies on the passing game to drive the offense.
3rd & Long: throws it94% pass — 37pp more pass-oriented than the 56% career average (63 plays).
2-Min Drill: throws it77% pass — 20pp more pass-oriented than the 56% career average (209 plays).
After Big Gain: runs it63% run — 19pp run-heavier than the 44% career average (116 plays).

By Down

1st Down
55% R
-0.03n=564
2nd Down
55% P
+0.03n=464
3rd Down
77% P
+0.40n=307
4th Down
72% P
+0.72n=32

3rd Down by Distance

Short (1-3)
57% R
+0.56n=74
Medium (4-6)
85% P
+0.41n=86
Long (7-9)
94% P
+0.21n=63
Very Long (10+)
86% P
+0.40n=84

Field Zone

Own Territory
58% P
+0.14n=1027
Midfield
54% P
-0.09n=205
Red Zone
52% P
-0.03n=79
Goal Line
57% R
+0.53n=56

Game Script

Up Close
53% R
+0.18n=110
Tied
54% P
+0.07n=215
Down Close
57% P
+0.08n=339
Down Big
58% P
+0.12n=682

Quick Stats

2-Min Drill
77% P
+0.0941%n=209
After Big Gain
63% R
+0.1159%n=116
After Sack
67% P
+0.2437%n=30
Inside Opp 40
51% P
+0.0345%n=340
Middle 8
60% P
+0.1142%n=260

Post-Event Reactions

Big Gain (15+)
63% R
+0.11n=116
Big Gain (20+)
71% R
+0.16n=68
Sack
67% P
+0.24n=30
Negative Play
69% P
+0.14n=108
Stuffed Run
75% P
+0.22n=88
1st Down Tendency
55% R
-0.03n=564

Drive Openers by Zone

Own Territory
50% R
+0.03n=248
Midfield
58% P
-0.16n=12
Red Zone
100% R
-0.19n=4

Run/Pass Imbalance

3rd & Longpasses 94%
2-Minute Drillpasses 77%
After Sackpasses 67%
After Big Gainruns 63%
When Trailing Bigpasses 58%

Advanced Intel

Tempo29.8s avg / 33.5s median
Explosive4.9% rush / 11.7% pass
1st Half Opening Drive57% pass (n=103)
2nd Half Opening Drive58% run (n=136)
Data via CFBD API · 2020–2025 seasons · nektarinsights.com/octendenciesFull Profile →