OC Tendencies · nektarinsights.com/octendencies · CFBD API 2020–2025
Greg Stevens
Utah Tech · Big Sky
Utah Tech · Big Sky
Greg Stevens
3 career stops · 1,368 offensive plays tracked
Scouting Report
Pass-first offense
56% pass rate over 1,368 plays — relies on the passing game to drive the offense.
3rd & Long: throws it
94% pass — 37pp more pass-oriented than the 56% career average (63 plays).
2-Min Drill: throws it
77% pass — 20pp more pass-oriented than the 56% career average (210 plays).
After Big Gain: runs it
63% run — 19pp run-heavier than the 44% career average (116 plays).
Career Timeline
Overall Split
43.6%
Run
56.4%
Pass
42.3%
Success Rate
1,368 plays
2-Min Pass %
76.7%
n=210
40% success
After Big Gain
62.9% run
n=116
59% success
After Sack
66.7% pass
n=30
37% success
Inside Opp 40
48.4% run
n=341
45% success
Middle 8
60.2% pass
n=261
42% success
Tendency Strength — What Defenses Study
How readable is each pattern? Higher = more predictable to opposing coordinators
Defenses will prep for this
Defenses will prep for this
Exploitability Index
Grade C (54/100) — biggest tell: game script rigidity
Unpredictable — hard to game-plan
Panics under pressure — clear tell
Stubborn — same plan regardless of score
Opener matches overall style
Run / Pass by Down
3rd Down by Distance
Run / Pass by Field Zone
EPA by Down
Game Script — How Play-Calling Shifts by Score
Run% and Pass% as the score differential changes — left = winning big, right = losing big
Year-over-Year Evolution
EPA / play
Situational Context
Post-Event Tendencies
Drive Opener by Zone
Advanced Analytics
Tempo — Pace of Play
Average seconds between plays (lower = faster tempo)
29.8s
Avg Pace
33.5s
Median
By Score State
Explosive Plays
Rushes 15+ yards and passes 15+ yards as a percentage of total plays
4.9%
Rush Explosive
11.7%
Pass Explosive
8.7%
Overall
1,368 plays
Opening Script — Scripted Drives
Run/pass split on opening drives by half