OC Tendencies Scouting Report · September 13, 2026

Gordon Sammis

OC · TCU · Big 12 · 1,712 plays tracked

Run%

49%

Pass%

51%

EPA/Play

+0.28

TCU 2026–presentUConn 2024–2025

Key Findings

Balanced attack49% run / 51% pass over 1,712 plays — keeps defenses honest with a near-even split.

3rd & Medium: throws it80% pass — 30pp more pass-oriented than the 51% career average (82 plays).

Garbage Time: runs it62% run — 12pp run-heavier than the 49% career average (104 plays).

Goal Line: runs it59% run — 9pp run-heavier than the 49% career average (119 plays).

By Down

1st Down

54% R

+0.13n=760

2nd Down

52% R

+0.25n=565

3rd Down

64% P

+0.56n=350

4th Down

59% P

+1.01n=37

3rd Down by Distance

Short (1-3)

72% R

+0.61n=97

Medium (4-6)

80% P

+0.62n=82

Long (7-9)

76% P

+0.39n=92

Very Long (10+)

77% P

+0.65n=79

Field Zone

Own Territory

52% P

+0.31n=1120

Midfield

53% P

+0.08n=342

Red Zone

58% R

+0.21n=131

Goal Line

59% R

+0.62n=119

Game Script

Up Big

58% R

+0.32n=442

Up Close

55% R

+0.33n=369

Tied

52% R

+0.19n=269

Down Close

61% P

+0.31n=388

Down Big

62% P

+0.17n=244

Quick Stats

2-Min Drill

56% P

+0.2347%n=245

After Big Gain

54% R

+0.1053%n=215

After Sack

54% R

+0.6031%n=26

Inside Opp 40

52% R

+0.2249%n=592

Middle 8

55% P

+0.2950%n=312

Post-Event Reactions

Big Gain (15+)

54% R

+0.10n=215

Big Gain (20+)

58% R

+0.16n=128

Sack

54% R

+0.60n=26

Negative Play

54% P

+0.47n=99

Stuffed Run

59% P

+0.37n=130

1st Down Tendency

54% R

+0.13n=760

Drive Openers by Zone

Own Territory

54% R

+0.18n=294

Midfield

53% R

+0.02n=15

Red Zone

67% R

-0.07n=3

Run/Pass Imbalance

3rd & Longpasses 76%

When Trailing Bigpasses 62%

Red Zoneruns 58%

2-Minute Drillpasses 56%

After Big Gainruns 54%

Advanced Intel

Tempo27.2s avg / 30.0s median

Explosive8.3% rush / 17.3% pass

1st Half Opening Drive51% pass (n=146)

2nd Half Opening Drive52% run (n=163)

Data via CFBD API · 2020–2025 seasons · nektarinsights.com/octendenciesFull Profile →