OC Tendencies scouting report · October 28, 2026
Gordon Sammis
OC · TCU · Big 12 · 1,712 plays tracked
49%
Run %
51%
Pass %
+0.28
EPA per play
TCU 2026–presentUConn 2024–2025
Biggest splits vs his own average (descriptive, not a prediction)
Balanced attack49% run / 51% pass over 1,712 plays (2020–2025).
3rd & Medium: throws it80% pass — 30pp more pass-oriented than the 51% career average (82 plays).
Garbage Time: runs it62% run — 12pp run-heavier than the 49% career average (104 plays).
Goal Line: runs it59% run — 9pp run-heavier than the 49% career average (119 plays).
By down
1st down+0.13n=760
54% R
2nd down+0.25n=565
52% R
3rd down+0.56n=350
64% P
4th down+1.01n=37
59% P
3rd down by distance
Short (1-3)+0.61n=97
72% R
Medium (4-6)+0.62n=82
80% P
Long (7-9)+0.39n=92
76% P
Very Long (10+)+0.65n=79
77% P
Field zone
Own Territory+0.31n=1120
52% P
Midfield+0.08n=342
53% P
Red Zone+0.21n=131
58% R
Goal Line+0.62n=119
59% R
Game script
Up Big+0.32n=442
58% R
Up Close+0.33n=369
55% R
Tied+0.19n=269
52% R
Down Close+0.31n=388
61% P
Down Big+0.17n=244
62% P
Quick stats
2-Min Drill+0.2347%n=245
56% P
After Big Gain+0.1053%n=215
54% R
After Sack+0.6031%n=26
54% R
Inside Opp 40+0.2249%n=592
52% R
Middle 8+0.2950%n=312
55% P
Post-event reactions
Big Gain (15+)+0.10n=215
54% R
Big Gain (20+)+0.16n=128
58% R
Sack+0.60n=26
54% R
Negative Play+0.47n=99
54% P
Stuffed Run+0.37n=130
59% P
1st Down Tendency+0.13n=760
54% R
Drive openers by zone
Own Territory+0.18n=294
54% R
Midfield+0.02n=15
53% R
Red Zone-0.07n=3
67% R
Run/pass imbalance
3rd & Longpasses 76%
When Trailing Bigpasses 62%
Red zone (11–20 yds)runs 58%
2-Minute Drillpasses 56%
After Big Gainruns 54%
Advanced intel
Tempo27.2s avg / 30.0s median
Explosive8.3% rush / 17.3% pass
1st Half Opening Drive51% pass (n=146)
2nd Half Opening Drive52% run (n=163)
Data via CFBD API · 2020–2025 seasons · nektarinsights.com/octendenciesFull profile →