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TCU · Big 12

Gordon Sammis

2 career stops · 1,730 offensive plays tracked

Scouting Report

Balanced attack

50% run / 50% pass over 1,730 plays — keeps defenses honest with a near-even split.

3rd & Medium: throws it

80% pass — 30pp more pass-oriented than the 50% career average (82 plays).

Garbage Time: runs it

63% run — 13pp run-heavier than the 50% career average (109 plays).

Goal Line: runs it

59% run — 9pp run-heavier than the 50% career average (119 plays).

Career Timeline

TCUBig 12
2026–present
UConnFBS Independent
2024–2025

Overall Split

49.9%

Run

50.1%

Pass

48.7%

Success Rate

1,730 plays

2-Min Pass %

52.5%

n=263

43% success

After Big Gain

55.7% run

n=219

52% success

After Sack

44.4% pass

n=27

30% success

Inside Opp 40

52.1% run

n=595

49% success

Middle 8

54.8% pass

n=316

50% success

Tendency Strength — What Defenses Study

How readable is each pattern? Higher = more predictable to opposing coordinators

3rd & Longpasses 76%

Defenses will prep for this

When Trailing Bigpasses 61%
Red Zoneruns 58%
After Big Gainruns 56%
2-Minute Drillpasses 52%
Overall Tendencypasses 50%

Exploitability Index

F26/100

Grade F (26/100) — biggest tell: predictability

Predictabilityσ=0.073

Moderate variation

Pressure Response0pp shift

Composed under pressure

Game Script Rigidity20pp swing

Highly adaptive to game flow

Opening Drive Tell1pp deviation

Opener matches overall style

Tempo Tell4.7s shift

Moderate tempo changes

Run / Pass by Down

3rd Down by Distance

Run / Pass by Field Zone

EPA by Down

Game Script — How Play-Calling Shifts by Score

Run% and Pass% as the score differential changes — left = winning big, right = losing big

Year-over-Year Evolution

EPA / play

Situational Context

Post-Event Tendencies

Drive Opener by Zone

Advanced Analytics

Tempo — Pace of Play

Average seconds between plays (lower = faster tempo)

27.2s

Avg Pace

30.0s

Median

By Score State

Up Big
29.2sn=351
Up Close
29.0sn=244
Tied
26.7sn=185
Down Big
24.5sn=112
Down Close
24.1sn=234

Explosive Plays

Rushes 15+ yards and passes 15+ yards as a percentage of total plays

8.1%

Rush Explosive

17.3%

Pass Explosive

12.7%

Overall

1,730 plays

Opening Script — Scripted Drives

Run/pass split on opening drives by half

1st Half Opening Drive
51% pass+0.233 EPAn=146
2nd Half Opening Drive
52% run+0.441 EPAn=163