OC Tendencies scouting report · November 9, 2026
Gino Guidugli
OC · Cincinnati · AAC · 822 plays tracked
45%
Run %
55%
Pass %
+0.21
EPA per play
Cincinnati 2022–2022
Biggest splits vs his own average (descriptive, not a prediction)
Balanced attack45% run / 55% pass over 822 plays (2020–2025).
3rd & Short: runs it80% run — 35pp run-heavier than the 45% career average (40 plays).
Goal Line: runs it60% run — 15pp run-heavier than the 45% career average (58 plays).
By down
1st down+0.04n=354
51% P
2nd down+0.21n=272
52% P
3rd down+0.48n=173
68% P
4th down+0.78n=20
60% R
3rd down by distance
Short (1-3)+0.61n=40
80% R
Medium (4-6)+0.48n=52
69% P
Long (7-9)+0.80n=39
95% P
Very Long (10+)+0.06n=42
86% P
Field zone
Own Territory+0.23n=557
57% P
Midfield+0.05n=143
55% P
Red Zone+0.26n=64
52% P
Goal Line+0.31n=58
60% R
Game script
Up Big+0.17n=262
55% P
Up Close+0.30n=148
52% P
Tied+0.02n=121
56% P
Down Close+0.22n=196
58% P
Down Big+0.39n=95
52% R
Quick stats
2-Min Drill+0.2042%n=97
51% P
After Big Gain+0.1053%n=106
58% P
After Sack+0.2143%n=35
54% R
Inside Opp 40+0.1647%n=265
51% P
Middle 8+0.2455%n=168
57% P
Post-event reactions
Big Gain (15+)+0.10n=106
58% P
Big Gain (20+)+0.18n=53
55% P
Sack+0.21n=35
54% R
Negative Play+0.14n=55
53% P
Stuffed Run+0.01n=43
51% P
1st Down Tendency+0.04n=354
51% P
Drive openers by zone
Own Territory+0.18n=141
57% R
Midfield-0.54n=13
54% R
Goal Line+0.19n=6
67% R
Run/pass imbalance
3rd & Longpasses 95%
After Big Gainpasses 58%
Overall Tendencypasses 55%
After Sackruns 54%
When Trailing Bigruns 52%
Advanced intel
Tempo25.3s avg / 26.0s median
Explosive7.8% rush / 17.6% pass
1st Half Opening Drive55% pass (n=69)
2nd Half Opening Drive53% pass (n=80)
Data via CFBD API · 2020–2025 seasons · nektarinsights.com/octendenciesFull profile →