OC Tendencies Scouting Report · May 12, 2026
Gino Guidugli
OC · Cincinnati · Big 12 · 5,584 plays tracked
Run%
50%
Pass%
50%
EPA/Play
+0.27
Cincinnati 2023–presentCincinnati 2022–2022Cincinnati 2020–2022
Key Findings
Balanced attack50% run / 50% pass over 5,584 plays — keeps defenses honest with a near-even split.
3rd & Long: throws it81% pass — 31pp more pass-oriented than the 50% career average (238 plays).
Garbage Time: runs it66% run — 16pp run-heavier than the 50% career average (265 plays).
Goal Line: runs it62% run — 12pp run-heavier than the 50% career average (410 plays).
By Down
1st Down+0.13n=2501
54% R
2nd Down+0.27n=1837
51% R
3rd Down+0.52n=1094
61% P
4th Down+0.63n=146
60% R
3rd Down by Distance
Short (1-3)+0.58n=284
74% R
Medium (4-6)+0.59n=301
65% P
Long (7-9)+0.57n=238
81% P
Very Long (10+)+0.34n=271
75% P
Field Zone
Own Territory+0.30n=3660
51% P
Midfield+0.08n=1083
51% P
Red Zone+0.25n=431
53% R
Goal Line+0.49n=410
62% R
Game Script
Up Big+0.38n=1786
53% R
Up Close+0.30n=1008
53% R
Tied+0.11n=845
50% P
Down Close+0.22n=1067
54% P
Down Big+0.19n=878
54% P
Quick Stats
2-Min Drill+0.1846%n=760
50% P
After Big Gain+0.198%n=711
53% R
After Sack+0.359%n=159
50% R
Inside Opp 40+0.2050%n=1924
53% R
Middle 8+0.2251%n=1035
55% P
Post-Event Reactions
Big Gain (15+)+0.19n=711
53% R
Big Gain (20+)+0.21n=403
57% R
Sack+0.35n=159
50% R
Negative Play+0.36n=388
56% P
Stuffed Run+0.26n=407
53% P
1st Down Tendency+0.13n=2501
54% R
Drive Openers by Zone
Own Territory+0.19n=924
59% R
Midfield-0.32n=72
50% R
Red Zone+0.31n=13
62% P
Goal Line+0.05n=24
75% R
Predictability Index
3rd & Longpasses 81%
Defenses will prepare for this
When Trailing Bigpasses 54%
After Big Gainruns 53%
Red Zoneruns 53%
After Sackruns 50%
Advanced Intel
Tempo25.3s avg / 26.0s median
Play Action0% rate · +0.00 EPA
Explosive7.7% rush / 17.6% pass
1st Half Opening Drive55% pass (n=69)
2nd Half Opening Drive53% pass (n=80)
Data via CFBD API · 2020–2025 seasons · nektarinsights.com/octendenciesFull Profile →