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Cincinnati · Big 12

Gino Guidugli

3 career stops · 5,584 offensive plays tracked

Scouting Report

Balanced attack

50% run / 50% pass over 5,584 plays — keeps defenses honest with a near-even split.

3rd & Long: throws it

81% pass — 31pp more pass-oriented than the 50% career average (238 plays).

Garbage Time: runs it

66% run — 16pp run-heavier than the 50% career average (265 plays).

Goal Line: runs it

62% run — 12pp run-heavier than the 50% career average (410 plays).

Career Timeline

CincinnatiBig 12
2023–present
CincinnatiAAC
2022–2022
CincinnatiAAC
2020–2022

Overall Split

50.1%

Run

49.9%

Pass

49.2%

Success Rate

5,584 plays

2-Min Pass %

50.1%

n=760

46% success

After Big Gain

53.3% run

n=711

8% success

After Sack

49.7% pass

n=159

9% success

Inside Opp 40

52.9% run

n=1924

50% success

Middle 8

55.1% pass

n=1035

51% success

Tendency Strength — What Defenses Study

How readable is each pattern? Higher = more predictable to opposing coordinators

3rd & Longpasses 81%

Defenses will prep for this

When Trailing Bigpasses 54%
After Big Gainruns 53%
Red Zoneruns 53%
After Sackruns 50%
Overall Tendencyruns 50%
2-Minute Drillpasses 50%

Exploitability Index

D42/100

Grade D (42/100) — biggest tell: game script rigidity

Predictabilityσ=0.042

Highly predictable play-caller

Pressure Response3pp shift

Composed under pressure

Game Script Rigidity8pp swing

Stubborn — same plan regardless of score

Opening Drive Tell5pp deviation

Opener matches overall style

Tempo Tell3.6s shift

Steady tempo — hard to read

Run / Pass by Down

3rd Down by Distance

Run / Pass by Field Zone

EPA by Down

Game Script — How Play-Calling Shifts by Score

Run% and Pass% as the score differential changes — left = winning big, right = losing big

Year-over-Year Evolution

EPA / play

Situational Context

Post-Event Tendencies

Drive Opener by Zone

Advanced Analytics

Tempo — Pace of Play

Average seconds between plays (lower = faster tempo)

25.3s

Avg Pace

26.0s

Median

By Score State

Up Big
29.1sn=36
Up Close
25.6sn=35
Tied
25.9sn=47
Down Big
25.5sn=67
Down Close
23.9sn=127

Play Action

Play action usage rate and EPA comparison

0%

PA Rate

+0.000

PA EPA

+0.270

Non-PA EPA

449 pass plays

Explosive Plays

Rushes 15+ yards and passes 15+ yards as a percentage of total plays

7.7%

Rush Explosive

17.6%

Pass Explosive

13.1%

Overall

827 plays

Opening Script — Scripted Drives

Run/pass split on opening drives by half

1st Half Opening Drive
55% pass-0.156 EPAn=69
2nd Half Opening Drive
53% pass+0.294 EPAn=80