OC Tendencies Scouting Report · May 12, 2026
Darin Hinshaw
OC · UCF · Big 12 · 5,762 plays tracked
Run%
53%
Pass%
47%
EPA/Play
+0.27
UCF 2023–presentMiami 2022–2022UAB 2022–2022UCF 2020–2021
Key Findings
Balanced attack53% run / 47% pass over 5,762 plays — keeps defenses honest with a near-even split.
3rd & Long: throws it78% pass — 31pp more pass-oriented than the 47% career average (233 plays).
Goal Line: runs it72% run — 19pp run-heavier than the 53% career average (454 plays).
Garbage Time: runs it65% run — 12pp run-heavier than the 53% career average (412 plays).
By Down
1st Down+0.14n=2587
58% R
2nd Down+0.27n=1872
54% R
3rd Down+0.57n=1128
60% P
4th Down+0.40n=175
58% P
3rd Down by Distance
Short (1-3)+0.75n=318
80% R
Medium (4-6)+0.53n=283
71% P
Long (7-9)+0.40n=233
78% P
Very Long (10+)+0.54n=294
77% P
Field Zone
Own Territory+0.34n=3697
50% R
Midfield+0.03n=1144
52% R
Red Zone+0.14n=467
56% R
Goal Line+0.49n=454
72% R
Game Script
Up Big+0.45n=1531
60% R
Up Close+0.37n=895
56% R
Tied+0.18n=899
50% R
Down Close+0.19n=1138
53% R
Down Big+0.14n=1299
56% P
Quick Stats
2-Min Drill+0.1948%n=776
55% P
After Big Gain+0.2033%n=744
60% R
After Sack+0.2916%n=152
52% P
Inside Opp 40+0.1649%n=2065
57% R
Middle 8+0.2346%n=982
50% P
Post-Event Reactions
Big Gain (15+)+0.20n=744
60% R
Big Gain (20+)+0.25n=484
62% R
Sack+0.29n=152
52% P
Negative Play+0.42n=435
56% P
Stuffed Run+0.43n=472
52% P
1st Down Tendency+0.14n=2587
58% R
Drive Openers by Zone
Own Territory+0.26n=903
54% R
Midfield-0.24n=74
55% R
Red Zone-0.18n=17
59% R
Goal Line+0.72n=22
68% R
Predictability Index
3rd & Longpasses 78%
Defenses will prepare for this
After Big Gainruns 60%
Red Zoneruns 56%
When Trailing Bigpasses 56%
2-Minute Drillpasses 55%
Advanced Intel
Tempo27.1s avg / 29.4s median
Play Action0% rate · +0.00 EPA
Explosive10.5% rush / 17.2% pass
1st Half Opening Drive55% run (n=352)
2nd Half Opening Drive64% run (n=302)
Data via CFBD API · 2020–2025 seasons · nektarinsights.com/octendenciesFull Profile →