OC Tendencies scouting report · November 9, 2026
Darin Hinshaw
OC · UCF · Big 12 · 3,254 plays tracked
55%
Run %
45%
Pass %
+0.29
EPA per play
UCF 2023–presentUAB 2022–2022
Biggest splits vs his own average (descriptive, not a prediction)
Run-first offense55% run rate over 3,254 plays (2020–2025).
3rd & Very Long: throws it74% pass — 30pp more pass-oriented than the 45% career average (164 plays).
Goal Line: runs it75% run — 20pp run-heavier than the 55% career average (245 plays).
2-Min Drill: throws it56% pass — 11pp more pass-oriented than the 45% career average (472 plays).
By down
1st down+0.18n=1461
61% R
2nd down+0.23n=1042
57% R
3rd down+0.60n=636
57% P
4th down+0.46n=115
56% P
3rd down by distance
Short (1-3)+0.78n=176
80% R
Medium (4-6)+0.53n=161
68% P
Long (7-9)+0.51n=135
73% P
Very Long (10+)+0.53n=164
74% P
Field zone
Own Territory+0.38n=2094
53% R
Midfield+0.02n=662
53% R
Red Zone+0.05n=253
60% R
Goal Line+0.47n=245
75% R
Game script
Up Big+0.40n=747
63% R
Up Close+0.31n=472
58% R
Tied+0.27n=518
54% R
Down Close+0.25n=728
57% R
Down Big+0.23n=789
54% P
Quick stats
2-Min Drill+0.2149%n=472
56% P
After Big Gain+0.1857%n=432
65% R
After Sack+0.2631%n=80
51% P
Inside Opp 40+0.1248%n=1160
59% R
Middle 8+0.2246%n=557
53% R
Post-event reactions
Big Gain (15+)+0.18n=432
65% R
Big Gain (20+)+0.22n=282
66% R
Sack+0.26n=80
51% P
Negative Play+0.42n=240
51% P
Stuffed Run+0.48n=276
50% R
1st Down Tendency+0.18n=1461
61% R
Drive openers by zone
Own Territory+0.38n=512
58% R
Midfield-0.28n=34
53% R
Red Zone-0.62n=11
73% R
Goal Line+1.11n=14
79% R
Run/pass imbalance
3rd & Longpasses 73%
After Big Gainruns 65%
Red zone (11–20 yds)runs 60%
2-Minute Drillpasses 56%
Overall Tendencyruns 55%
Advanced intel
Tempo27.1s avg / 28.9s median
Explosive10.6% rush / 17.2% pass
1st Half Opening Drive55% run (n=352)
2nd Half Opening Drive64% run (n=302)
Data via CFBD API · 2020–2025 seasons · nektarinsights.com/octendenciesFull profile →