OC Tendencies Scouting Report · September 10, 2026
Darin Hinshaw
OC · UCF · Big 12 · 5,749 plays tracked
Run%
53%
Pass%
47%
EPA/Play
+0.28
UCF 2023–presentMiami 2022–2022UAB 2022–2022UCF 2020–2021
Key Findings
Balanced attack53% run / 47% pass over 5,749 plays — keeps defenses honest with a near-even split.
3rd & Long: throws it78% pass — 31pp more pass-oriented than the 47% career average (232 plays).
Goal Line: runs it72% run — 19pp run-heavier than the 53% career average (454 plays).
Garbage Time: runs it64% run — 12pp run-heavier than the 53% career average (408 plays).
By Down
1st Down+0.14n=2578
58% R
2nd Down+0.27n=1870
53% R
3rd Down+0.57n=1126
60% P
4th Down+0.40n=175
58% P
3rd Down by Distance
Short (1-3)+0.76n=317
80% R
Medium (4-6)+0.53n=283
71% P
Long (7-9)+0.41n=232
78% P
Very Long (10+)+0.54n=294
77% P
Field Zone
Own Territory+0.34n=3689
50% R
Midfield+0.03n=1139
52% R
Red Zone+0.14n=467
56% R
Goal Line+0.49n=454
72% R
Game Script
Up Big+0.41n=1494
59% R
Up Close+0.33n=881
56% R
Tied+0.21n=908
51% R
Down Close+0.23n=1151
53% R
Down Big+0.19n=1315
56% P
Quick Stats
2-Min Drill+0.2149%n=763
56% P
After Big Gain+0.2033%n=742
60% R
After Sack+0.2916%n=152
52% P
Inside Opp 40+0.1649%n=2060
57% R
Middle 8+0.2446%n=979
50% P
Post-Event Reactions
Big Gain (15+)+0.20n=742
60% R
Big Gain (20+)+0.26n=482
61% R
Sack+0.29n=152
52% P
Negative Play+0.43n=432
56% P
Stuffed Run+0.44n=467
53% P
1st Down Tendency+0.14n=2578
58% R
Drive Openers by Zone
Own Territory+0.27n=898
54% R
Midfield-0.23n=72
54% R
Red Zone-0.18n=17
59% R
Goal Line+0.72n=22
68% R
Run/Pass Imbalance
3rd & Longpasses 78%
After Big Gainruns 60%
Red Zoneruns 56%
2-Minute Drillpasses 56%
When Trailing Bigpasses 56%
Advanced Intel
Tempo27.1s avg / 28.9s median
Explosive10.6% rush / 17.2% pass
1st Half Opening Drive55% run (n=352)
2nd Half Opening Drive64% run (n=302)
Data via CFBD API · 2020–2025 seasons · nektarinsights.com/octendenciesFull Profile →