OC Tendencies · nektarinsights.com/octendencies · CFBD API 2020–2025
Darin Hinshaw
UCF · Big 12
UCF · Big 12
Darin Hinshaw
4 career stops · 5,762 offensive plays tracked
Scouting Report
Balanced attack
53% run / 47% pass over 5,762 plays — keeps defenses honest with a near-even split.
3rd & Long: throws it
78% pass — 31pp more pass-oriented than the 47% career average (233 plays).
Goal Line: runs it
72% run — 19pp run-heavier than the 53% career average (454 plays).
Garbage Time: runs it
65% run — 12pp run-heavier than the 53% career average (412 plays).
Career Timeline
Overall Split
52.8%
Run
47.2%
Pass
50.0%
Success Rate
5,762 plays
2-Min Pass %
54.9%
n=776
48% success
After Big Gain
60.1% run
n=744
33% success
After Sack
52.0% pass
n=152
16% success
Inside Opp 40
57.4% run
n=2065
49% success
Middle 8
50.3% pass
n=982
46% success
Tendency Strength — What Defenses Study
How readable is each pattern? Higher = more predictable to opposing coordinators
Defenses will prep for this
Exploitability Index
Grade D (37/100) — biggest tell: predictability
Moderate variation
Composed under pressure
Moderate adaptation
Opener matches overall style
Moderate tempo changes
Run / Pass by Down
3rd Down by Distance
Run / Pass by Field Zone
EPA by Down
Game Script — How Play-Calling Shifts by Score
Run% and Pass% as the score differential changes — left = winning big, right = losing big
Year-over-Year Evolution
EPA / play
Situational Context
Post-Event Tendencies
Drive Opener by Zone
Advanced Analytics
Tempo — Pace of Play
Average seconds between plays (lower = faster tempo)
27.1s
Avg Pace
29.4s
Median
By Score State
Play Action
Play action usage rate and EPA comparison
0%
PA Rate
+0.000
PA EPA
+0.256
Non-PA EPA
1,455 pass plays
Explosive Plays
Rushes 15+ yards and passes 15+ yards as a percentage of total plays
10.5%
Rush Explosive
17.2%
Pass Explosive
13.5%
Overall
3,267 plays
Opening Script — Scripted Drives
Run/pass split on opening drives by half