OC Tendencies scouting report · October 28, 2026
Chad Scott
OC · West Virginia · Big 12 · 1,753 plays tracked
58%
Run %
42%
Pass %
+0.26
EPA per play
West Virginia 2023–2024
Biggest splits vs his own average (descriptive, not a prediction)
Run-first offense58% run rate over 1,753 plays (2020–2025).
3rd & Long: throws it74% pass — 32pp more pass-oriented than the 42% career average (70 plays).
2-Min Drill: throws it55% pass — 13pp more pass-oriented than the 42% career average (257 plays).
Down Big: throws it53% pass — 12pp more pass-oriented than the 42% career average (388 plays).
By down
1st down+0.10n=771
61% R
2nd down+0.24n=559
61% R
3rd down+0.60n=345
51% P
4th down+0.57n=78
51% P
3rd down by distance
Short (1-3)+0.43n=91
86% R
Medium (4-6)+0.48n=100
52% P
Long (7-9)+0.98n=70
74% P
Very Long (10+)+0.62n=84
71% P
Field zone
Own Territory+0.30n=1099
58% R
Midfield-0.02n=376
55% R
Red Zone+0.29n=145
57% R
Goal Line+0.68n=133
68% R
Game script
Up Big+0.34n=373
68% R
Up Close+0.27n=308
60% R
Tied+0.25n=327
58% R
Down Close+0.19n=357
59% R
Down Big+0.27n=388
53% P
Quick stats
2-Min Drill+0.3751%n=257
55% P
After Big Gain+0.1153%n=229
56% R
After Sack+0.4143%n=35
51% R
Inside Opp 40+0.1948%n=654
58% R
Middle 8+0.3352%n=291
53% R
Post-event reactions
Big Gain (15+)+0.11n=229
56% R
Big Gain (20+)+0.17n=131
54% R
Sack+0.41n=35
51% R
Negative Play+0.30n=128
53% P
Stuffed Run+0.40n=154
51% P
1st Down Tendency+0.10n=771
61% R
Drive openers by zone
Own Territory+0.25n=262
67% R
Midfield-0.18n=17
53% R
Red Zone+0.10n=4
75% R
Goal Line+0.70n=3
67% P
Run/pass imbalance
3rd & Longpasses 74%
Overall Tendencyruns 58%
Red zone (11–20 yds)runs 57%
After Big Gainruns 56%
2-Minute Drillpasses 55%
Advanced intel
Tempo29.7s avg / 31.5s median
Explosive9.4% rush / 19.0% pass
1st Half Opening Drive60% run (n=187)
2nd Half Opening Drive58% run (n=180)
Data via CFBD API · 2020–2025 seasons · nektarinsights.com/octendenciesFull profile →