OC Tendencies Scouting Report · April 30, 2026
Chad Scott
OC · West Virginia · Big 12 · 2,599 plays tracked
Run%
58%
Pass%
42%
EPA/Play
+0.20
West Virginia 2023–presentWest Virginia 2019–2022
Key Findings
Run-first offense58% run rate over 2,599 plays — establishes the run as the primary play-caller identity.
3rd & Long: throws it76% pass — 34pp more pass-oriented than the 42% career average (107 plays).
Goal Line: runs it73% run — 14pp run-heavier than the 58% career average (193 plays).
After a Sack: throws it55% pass — 13pp more pass-oriented than the 42% career average (60 plays).
By Down
1st Down+0.06n=1122
65% R
2nd Down+0.18n=830
58% R
3rd Down+0.52n=526
54% P
4th Down+0.31n=120
52% R
3rd Down by Distance
Short (1-3)+0.45n=139
82% R
Medium (4-6)+0.41n=148
53% P
Long (7-9)+0.73n=107
76% P
Very Long (10+)+0.54n=132
75% P
Field Zone
Own Territory+0.24n=1695
57% R
Midfield-0.04n=514
56% R
Red Zone+0.21n=197
63% R
Goal Line+0.52n=193
73% R
Game Script
Up Big+0.45n=479
68% R
Up Close+0.26n=479
63% R
Tied+0.16n=426
58% R
Down Close+0.07n=483
57% R
Down Big+0.11n=732
51% P
Quick Stats
2-Min Drill+0.2347%n=391
52% P
After Big Gain+0.0449%n=308
60% R
After Sack+0.5543%n=60
55% P
Inside Opp 40+0.1346%n=904
61% R
Middle 8+0.2247%n=435
53% R
Post-Event Reactions
Big Gain (15+)+0.04n=308
60% R
Big Gain (20+)+0.05n=178
61% R
Sack+0.55n=60
55% P
Negative Play+0.36n=199
55% P
Stuffed Run+0.36n=250
51% P
1st Down Tendency+0.06n=1122
65% R
Drive Openers by Zone
Own Territory+0.19n=415
68% R
Midfield-0.20n=24
63% R
Red Zone+0.31n=5
60% R
Goal Line+0.89n=4
50% R
Predictability Index
3rd & Longpasses 76%
Defenses will prepare for this
Red Zoneruns 63%
After Big Gainruns 60%
Overall Tendencyruns 58%
After Sackpasses 55%
Advanced Intel
Tempo26.8s avg / 26.0s median
Play Action0% rate · +0.00 EPA
Explosive7.9% rush / 17.8% pass
1st Half Opening Drive62% run (n=251)
2nd Half Opening Drive59% run (n=253)
Data via CFBD API · 2020–2025 seasons · nektarinsights.com/octendenciesFull Profile →