OC Tendencies Scouting Report · September 10, 2026
Chad Scott
OC · West Virginia · Big 12 · 2,578 plays tracked
Run%
58%
Pass%
42%
EPA/Play
+0.21
West Virginia 2023–presentWest Virginia 2019–2022
Key Findings
Run-first offense58% run rate over 2,578 plays — establishes the run as the primary play-caller identity.
3rd & Very Long: throws it77% pass — 35pp more pass-oriented than the 42% career average (128 plays).
Goal Line: runs it72% run — 14pp run-heavier than the 58% career average (190 plays).
After a Sack: throws it55% pass — 13pp more pass-oriented than the 42% career average (60 plays).
By Down
1st Down+0.07n=1110
65% R
2nd Down+0.19n=825
58% R
3rd Down+0.53n=522
54% P
4th Down+0.31n=120
52% R
3rd Down by Distance
Short (1-3)+0.45n=139
82% R
Medium (4-6)+0.41n=148
53% P
Long (7-9)+0.73n=107
76% P
Very Long (10+)+0.58n=128
77% P
Field Zone
Own Territory+0.25n=1688
57% R
Midfield-0.04n=511
56% R
Red Zone+0.24n=189
62% R
Goal Line+0.53n=190
72% R
Game Script
Up Big+0.33n=439
67% R
Up Close+0.26n=467
63% R
Tied+0.22n=437
59% R
Down Close+0.13n=490
56% R
Down Big+0.15n=745
50% P
Quick Stats
2-Min Drill+0.2949%n=370
55% P
After Big Gain+0.0550%n=304
60% R
After Sack+0.5543%n=60
55% P
Inside Opp 40+0.1447%n=890
61% R
Middle 8+0.2247%n=435
53% R
Post-Event Reactions
Big Gain (15+)+0.05n=304
60% R
Big Gain (20+)+0.06n=176
60% R
Sack+0.55n=60
55% P
Negative Play+0.39n=191
57% P
Stuffed Run+0.38n=240
53% P
1st Down Tendency+0.07n=1110
65% R
Drive Openers by Zone
Own Territory+0.20n=411
68% R
Midfield-0.20n=24
63% R
Red Zone+0.31n=5
60% R
Goal Line+0.89n=4
50% R
Run/Pass Imbalance
3rd & Longpasses 76%
Red Zoneruns 62%
After Big Gainruns 60%
Overall Tendencyruns 58%
After Sackpasses 55%
Advanced Intel
Tempo26.7s avg / 26.0s median
Explosive8.0% rush / 17.8% pass
1st Half Opening Drive62% run (n=251)
2nd Half Opening Drive59% run (n=253)
Data via CFBD API · 2020–2025 seasons · nektarinsights.com/octendenciesFull Profile →