OC Tendencies · nektarinsights.com/octendencies · CFBD API 2020–2025
Chad Scott
West Virginia · Big 12
West Virginia · Big 12
Chad Scott
2 career stops · 2,599 offensive plays tracked
Scouting Report
Run-first offense
58% run rate over 2,599 plays — establishes the run as the primary play-caller identity.
3rd & Long: throws it
76% pass — 34pp more pass-oriented than the 42% career average (107 plays).
Goal Line: runs it
73% run — 14pp run-heavier than the 58% career average (193 plays).
After a Sack: throws it
55% pass — 13pp more pass-oriented than the 42% career average (60 plays).
Career Timeline
Overall Split
58.3%
Run
41.8%
Pass
46.8%
Success Rate
2,599 plays
2-Min Pass %
51.7%
n=391
47% success
After Big Gain
60.4% run
n=308
49% success
After Sack
55.0% pass
n=60
43% success
Inside Opp 40
61.2% run
n=904
46% success
Middle 8
46.9% pass
n=435
47% success
Tendency Strength — What Defenses Study
How readable is each pattern? Higher = more predictable to opposing coordinators
Defenses will prep for this
Exploitability Index
Grade D (44/100) — biggest tell: tempo tell
Moderate variation
Moderate pressure adjustment
Highly adaptive to game flow
Opener matches overall style
Tempo shift telegraphs intent
Run / Pass by Down
3rd Down by Distance
Run / Pass by Field Zone
EPA by Down
Game Script — How Play-Calling Shifts by Score
Run% and Pass% as the score differential changes — left = winning big, right = losing big
Year-over-Year Evolution
EPA / play
Situational Context
Post-Event Tendencies
Drive Opener by Zone
Advanced Analytics
Tempo — Pace of Play
Average seconds between plays (lower = faster tempo)
26.8s
Avg Pace
26.0s
Median
By Score State
Play Action
Play action usage rate and EPA comparison
0%
PA Rate
+0.000
PA EPA
+0.204
Non-PA EPA
1,085 pass plays
Explosive Plays
Rushes 15+ yards and passes 15+ yards as a percentage of total plays
7.9%
Rush Explosive
17.8%
Pass Explosive
12.0%
Overall
2,599 plays
Opening Script — Scripted Drives
Run/pass split on opening drives by half