OC Tendencies · nektarinsights.com/octendencies · CFBD API 2020–2025
Chad Scott
West Virginia · Big 12
Scouting Report
Run-first offense
58% run rate over 2,599 plays — establishes the run as the primary play-caller identity.
3rd & Long: throws it
76% pass — 34pp more pass-oriented than the 42% career average (107 plays).
Goal Line: runs it
73% run — 14pp run-heavier than the 58% career average (193 plays).
After a Sack: throws it
55% pass — 13pp more pass-oriented than the 42% career average (60 plays).
Career Timeline
Overall Split
58.3%
Run
41.8%
Pass
46.8%
Success Rate
2,599 plays
2-Min Pass %
51.7%
n=391
47% success
After Big Gain
60.4% run
n=308
After Sack
55.0% pass
n=60
Inside Opp 40
61.2% run
n=904
46% success
Middle 8
46.9% pass
n=435
47% success
Tendency Strength — What Defenses Study
How readable is each pattern? Higher = more predictable to opposing coordinators
Defenses will prep for this
Run / Pass by Down
3rd Down by Distance
Run / Pass by Field Zone
EPA by Down
Game Script — How Play-Calling Shifts by Score
Run% and Pass% as the score differential changes — left = winning big, right = losing big
Year-over-Year Evolution
EPA / play
Situational Context
Post-Event Tendencies
Drive Opener by Zone