OC Tendencies
← Carson Stewart Profile

OC Tendencies Scouting Report · April 30, 2026

Carson Stewart

OC · Northwestern State · Southland · 643 plays tracked

Run%

56%

Pass%

44%

EPA/Play

-0.01

Northwestern State 2025–present (FCS)

Key Findings

Run-first offense56% run rate over 643 plays — establishes the run as the primary play-caller identity.
3rd & Very Long: throws it84% pass — 40pp more pass-oriented than the 44% career average (49 plays).
After Stuffed Run: throws it57% pass — 13pp more pass-oriented than the 44% career average (97 plays).

By Down

1st Down
67% R
-0.22n=267
2nd Down
57% R
+0.08n=211
3rd Down
65% P
+0.16n=149
4th Down
63% R
+0.87n=16

3rd Down by Distance

Short (1-3)
72% R
+0.11n=36
Medium (4-6)
76% P
+0.53n=33
Long (7-9)
68% P
-0.16n=31
Very Long (10+)
84% P
+0.14n=49

Field Zone

Own Territory
54% R
+0.02n=497
Midfield
64% R
-0.24n=83
Red Zone
50% R
-0.35n=32
Goal Line
68% R
+0.52n=31

Game Script

Up Big
62% R
-0.04n=39
Up Close
71% R
+0.32n=41
Tied
56% R
+0.04n=72
Down Close
56% R
+0.01n=144
Down Big
54% R
-0.06n=347

Quick Stats

2-Min Drill
54% R
+0.0741%n=80
After Big Gain
62% R
-0.3140%n=52
After Sack
50% R
-0.1225%n=24
Inside Opp 40
62% R
-0.1034%n=146
Middle 8
51% P
-0.0138%n=111

Post-Event Reactions

Big Gain (15+)
62% R
-0.31n=52
Big Gain (20+)
70% R
-0.17n=30
Sack
50% R
-0.12n=24
Negative Play
56% P
+0.01n=88
Stuffed Run
57% P
+0.18n=97
1st Down Tendency
67% R
-0.22n=267

Drive Openers by Zone

Own Territory
68% R
-0.18n=134
Midfield
67% R
-0.52n=9

Predictability Index

3rd & Longpasses 68%

Notable pattern on film

After Big Gainruns 62%
Overall Tendencyruns 56%
When Trailing Bigruns 54%
2-Minute Drillruns 54%

Advanced Intel

Tempo35.9s avg / 40.0s median
Explosive5.0% rush / 12.4% pass
1st Half Opening Drive62% run (n=52)
2nd Half Opening Drive66% run (n=44)
Data via CFBD API · 2020–2025 seasons · nektarinsights.com/octendenciesFull Profile →