OC Tendencies scouting report · October 29, 2026
Carson Stewart
OC · Northwestern State · Southland · 643 plays tracked
56%
Run %
44%
Pass %
-0.01
EPA per play
Northwestern State 2025–present (FCS)
Every play in this profile comes from FCS games, so it does not compare cleanly with FBS offenses.
Biggest splits vs his own average (descriptive, not a prediction)
Run-first offense56% run rate over 643 plays (2020–2025).
3rd & Very Long: throws it84% pass — 40pp more pass-oriented than the 44% career average (49 plays).
After Stuffed Run: throws it57% pass — 13pp more pass-oriented than the 44% career average (97 plays).
By down
1st down-0.22n=267
67% R
2nd down+0.08n=211
57% R
3rd down+0.16n=149
65% P
4th down+0.87n=16
63% R
3rd down by distance
Short (1-3)+0.11n=36
72% R
Medium (4-6)+0.53n=33
76% P
Long (7-9)-0.16n=31
68% P
Very Long (10+)+0.14n=49
84% P
Field zone
Own Territory+0.02n=497
54% R
Midfield-0.24n=83
64% R
Red Zone-0.35n=32
50% R
Goal Line+0.52n=31
68% R
Game script
Up Big-0.10n=38
61% R
Up Close+0.07n=37
76% R
Tied+0.03n=72
54% R
Down Close+0.03n=146
56% R
Down Big-0.03n=350
54% R
Quick stats
2-Min Drill+0.0741%n=80
54% R
After Big Gain-0.3140%n=52
62% R
After Sack-0.1225%n=24
50% R
Inside Opp 40-0.1034%n=146
62% R
Middle 8-0.0138%n=111
51% P
Post-event reactions
Big Gain (15+)-0.31n=52
62% R
Big Gain (20+)-0.17n=30
70% R
Sack-0.12n=24
50% R
Negative Play+0.01n=88
56% P
Stuffed Run+0.18n=97
57% P
1st Down Tendency-0.22n=267
67% R
Drive openers by zone
Own Territory-0.18n=134
68% R
Midfield-0.52n=9
67% R
Run/pass imbalance
3rd & Longpasses 68%
After Big Gainruns 62%
Overall Tendencyruns 56%
2-Minute Drillruns 54%
When Trailing Bigruns 54%
Advanced intel
Tempo35.9s avg / 40.0s median
Explosive5.0% rush / 12.4% pass
1st Half Opening Drive62% run (n=52)
2nd Half Opening Drive66% run (n=44)
Data via CFBD API · 2020–2025 seasons · nektarinsights.com/octendenciesFull profile →