OC Tendencies · nektarinsights.com/octendencies · CFBD API 2020–2025
Carson Stewart
Northwestern State · Southland
Northwestern State · Southland
Carson Stewart
1 career stop · 643 offensive plays tracked
Scouting Report
Run-first offense
56% run rate over 643 plays — establishes the run as the primary play-caller identity.
3rd & Very Long: throws it
84% pass — 40pp more pass-oriented than the 44% career average (49 plays).
After Stuffed Run: throws it
57% pass — 13pp more pass-oriented than the 44% career average (97 plays).
Career Timeline
Overall Split
56.0%
Run
44.0%
Pass
35.3%
Success Rate
643 plays
2-Min Pass %
46.3%
n=80
41% success
After Big Gain
61.5% run
n=52
40% success
After Sack
50.0% pass
n=24
25% success
Inside Opp 40
61.6% run
n=146
34% success
Middle 8
51.3% pass
n=111
38% success
Tendency Strength — What Defenses Study
How readable is each pattern? Higher = more predictable to opposing coordinators
Shows on film
Exploitability Index
Grade C (45/100) — biggest tell: game script rigidity
Moderate variation
Composed under pressure
Stubborn — same plan regardless of score
Opener matches overall style
Run / Pass by Down
3rd Down by Distance
Run / Pass by Field Zone
EPA by Down
Game Script — How Play-Calling Shifts by Score
Run% and Pass% as the score differential changes — left = winning big, right = losing big
Situational Context
Post-Event Tendencies
Drive Opener by Zone
Advanced Analytics
Tempo — Pace of Play
Average seconds between plays (lower = faster tempo)
35.9s
Avg Pace
40.0s
Median
By Score State
Explosive Plays
Rushes 15+ yards and passes 15+ yards as a percentage of total plays
5.0%
Rush Explosive
12.4%
Pass Explosive
8.2%
Overall
643 plays
Opening Script — Scripted Drives
Run/pass split on opening drives by half