OC Tendencies Scouting Report · April 30, 2026
Buddy Blevins
OC · Idaho State · Big Sky · 1,660 plays tracked
Run%
39%
Pass%
61%
EPA/Play
+0.26
Idaho State 2024–present (FCS)
Key Findings
Pass-first offense61% pass rate over 1,660 plays — relies on the passing game to drive the offense.
3rd & Short: runs it70% run — 32pp run-heavier than the 39% career average (88 plays).
Goal Line: runs it64% run — 25pp run-heavier than the 39% career average (116 plays).
Up Big: runs it47% run — 8pp run-heavier than the 39% career average (393 plays).
By Down
1st Down+0.14n=778
58% P
2nd Down+0.24n=527
62% P
3rd Down+0.64n=310
69% P
4th Down-0.02n=45
53% P
3rd Down by Distance
Short (1-3)+0.72n=88
70% R
Medium (4-6)+0.58n=77
83% P
Long (7-9)+0.60n=55
91% P
Very Long (10+)+0.64n=90
83% P
Field Zone
Own Territory+0.33n=1065
64% P
Midfield+0.02n=330
62% P
Red Zone+0.24n=149
62% P
Goal Line+0.32n=116
64% R
Game Script
Up Big+0.40n=393
53% P
Up Close+0.36n=274
56% P
Tied+0.21n=232
57% P
Down Close+0.13n=311
68% P
Down Big+0.19n=450
69% P
Quick Stats
2-Min Drill+0.2954%n=242
64% P
After Big Gain+0.1559%n=224
58% P
Inside Opp 40+0.1351%n=595
57% P
Middle 8+0.3553%n=307
65% P
Post-Event Reactions
Big Gain (15+)+0.15n=224
58% P
Big Gain (20+)+0.11n=121
52% P
Sack+0.77n=13
77% P
Negative Play+0.19n=78
67% P
Stuffed Run+0.19n=98
61% P
1st Down Tendency+0.14n=778
58% P
Drive Openers by Zone
Own Territory+0.14n=249
51% P
Midfield-0.01n=19
53% R
Red Zone-0.09n=8
88% P
Goal Line+0.07n=3
67% P
Predictability Index
3rd & Longpasses 91%
Defenses will prepare for this
When Trailing Bigpasses 69%
Notable pattern on film
2-Minute Drillpasses 64%
Red Zonepasses 62%
Overall Tendencypasses 61%
Advanced Intel
Tempo26.4s avg / 28.0s median
Explosive7.0% rush / 17.9% pass
1st Half Opening Drive56% pass (n=144)
2nd Half Opening Drive58% pass (n=125)
Data via CFBD API · 2020–2025 seasons · nektarinsights.com/octendenciesFull Profile →