OC Tendencies
← Buddy Blevins profile

OC Tendencies scouting report · October 28, 2026

Buddy Blevins

OC · Idaho State · Big Sky · 1,657 plays tracked

39%

Run %

61%

Pass %

+0.26

EPA per play

Idaho State 2024–present (FCS)

Every play in this profile comes from FCS games, so it does not compare cleanly with FBS offenses.

Biggest splits vs his own average (descriptive, not a prediction)

Pass-first offense61% pass rate over 1,657 plays (2020–2025).
3rd & Short: runs it70% run — 32pp run-heavier than the 39% career average (88 plays).
Goal Line: runs it64% run — 25pp run-heavier than the 39% career average (116 plays).

By down

1st down
58% P
+0.14n=776
2nd down
62% P
+0.24n=526
3rd down
69% P
+0.64n=310
4th down
53% P
-0.02n=45

3rd down by distance

Short (1-3)
70% R
+0.72n=88
Medium (4-6)
83% P
+0.58n=77
Long (7-9)
91% P
+0.60n=55
Very Long (10+)
83% P
+0.64n=90

Field zone

Own Territory
64% P
+0.33n=1064
Midfield
62% P
+0.02n=329
Red Zone
63% P
+0.24n=148
Goal Line
64% R
+0.32n=116

Game script

Up Big
54% P
+0.29n=374
Up Close
56% P
+0.32n=267
Tied
57% P
+0.28n=240
Down Close
67% P
+0.21n=325
Down Big
69% P
+0.23n=451

Quick stats

2-Min Drill
65% P
+0.3154%n=239
After Big Gain
58% P
+0.1559%n=224
Inside Opp 40
57% P
+0.1351%n=593
Middle 8
65% P
+0.3553%n=307

Post-event reactions

Big Gain (15+)
58% P
+0.15n=224
Big Gain (20+)
52% P
+0.11n=121
Sack
77% P
+0.77n=13
Negative Play
68% P
+0.21n=77
Stuffed Run
62% P
+0.21n=97
1st Down Tendency
58% P
+0.14n=776

Drive openers by zone

Own Territory
51% P
+0.15n=248
Midfield
53% R
-0.01n=19
Red Zone
88% P
-0.09n=8
Goal Line
67% P
+0.07n=3

Run/pass imbalance

3rd & Longpasses 91%
When Trailing Bigpasses 69%
2-Minute Drillpasses 65%
Red zone (11–20 yds)passes 63%
Overall Tendencypasses 61%

Advanced intel

Tempo26.4s avg / 28.0s median
Explosive7.0% rush / 17.9% pass
1st Half Opening Drive56% pass (n=144)
2nd Half Opening Drive58% pass (n=125)
Data via CFBD API · 2020–2025 seasons · nektarinsights.com/octendenciesFull profile →