OC Tendencies · nektarinsights.com/octendencies · CFBD API 2020–2025
Buddy Blevins
Idaho State · Big Sky
Idaho State · Big Sky
Buddy Blevins
1 career stop · 1,660 offensive plays tracked
Scouting Report
Pass-first offense
61% pass rate over 1,660 plays — relies on the passing game to drive the offense.
3rd & Short: runs it
70% run — 32pp run-heavier than the 39% career average (88 plays).
Goal Line: runs it
64% run — 25pp run-heavier than the 39% career average (116 plays).
Up Big: runs it
47% run — 8pp run-heavier than the 39% career average (393 plays).
Career Timeline
Overall Split
38.7%
Run
61.3%
Pass
52.7%
Success Rate
1,660 plays
2-Min Pass %
64.0%
n=242
54% success
After Big Gain
41.5% run
n=224
59% success
After Sack
76.9% pass
n=13
46% success
Inside Opp 40
43.0% run
n=595
51% success
Middle 8
64.8% pass
n=307
53% success
Tendency Strength — What Defenses Study
How readable is each pattern? Higher = more predictable to opposing coordinators
Defenses will prep for this
Shows on film
Exploitability Index
Grade D (43/100) — biggest tell: predictability
Moderate variation
Moderate pressure adjustment
Moderate adaptation
Opener matches overall style
Steady tempo — hard to read
Run / Pass by Down
3rd Down by Distance
Run / Pass by Field Zone
EPA by Down
Game Script — How Play-Calling Shifts by Score
Run% and Pass% as the score differential changes — left = winning big, right = losing big
Year-over-Year Evolution
EPA / play
Situational Context
Post-Event Tendencies
Drive Opener by Zone
Advanced Analytics
Tempo — Pace of Play
Average seconds between plays (lower = faster tempo)
26.4s
Avg Pace
28.0s
Median
By Score State
Explosive Plays
Rushes 15+ yards and passes 15+ yards as a percentage of total plays
7.0%
Rush Explosive
17.9%
Pass Explosive
13.7%
Overall
1,660 plays
Opening Script — Scripted Drives
Run/pass split on opening drives by half