OC Tendencies Scouting Report · September 13, 2026
Brennan Marion
OC · Colorado · Big 12 · 1,819 plays tracked
Run%
58%
Pass%
42%
EPA/Play
+0.27
Colorado 2026–presentUNLV 2023–2024Texas 2022–2022Pitt 2021–2021
Key Findings
Run-first offense58% run rate over 1,819 plays — establishes the run as the primary play-caller identity.
3rd & Very Long: throws it80% pass — 38pp more pass-oriented than the 42% career average (89 plays).
Garbage Time: runs it75% run — 16pp run-heavier than the 58% career average (106 plays).
Goal Line: runs it74% run — 16pp run-heavier than the 58% career average (152 plays).
By Down
1st Down+0.16n=799
64% R
2nd Down+0.18n=583
61% R
3rd Down+0.62n=395
55% P
4th Down+0.49n=42
57% R
3rd Down by Distance
Short (1-3)+0.83n=110
77% R
Medium (4-6)+0.47n=107
57% P
Long (7-9)+0.64n=89
67% P
Very Long (10+)+0.52n=89
80% P
Field Zone
Own Territory+0.31n=1131
55% R
Midfield+0.09n=390
59% R
Red Zone+0.25n=146
65% R
Goal Line+0.47n=152
74% R
Game Script
Up Big+0.32n=538
70% R
Up Close+0.22n=415
57% R
Tied+0.40n=244
57% R
Down Close+0.19n=301
57% R
Down Big+0.24n=321
56% P
Quick Stats
2-Min Drill+0.2546%n=233
50% P
After Big Gain+0.0952%n=218
69% R
After Sack+0.4945%n=47
53% R
Inside Opp 40+0.2148%n=688
64% R
Middle 8+0.2846%n=345
51% P
Post-Event Reactions
Big Gain (15+)+0.09n=218
69% R
Big Gain (20+)+0.11n=140
67% R
Sack+0.49n=47
53% R
Negative Play+0.31n=118
52% R
Stuffed Run+0.27n=136
54% R
1st Down Tendency+0.16n=799
64% R
Drive Openers by Zone
Own Territory+0.28n=292
61% R
Midfield+0.14n=32
59% R
Red Zone+0.34n=11
82% R
Goal Line+0.33n=6
83% R
Run/Pass Imbalance
After Big Gainruns 69%
3rd & Longpasses 67%
Red Zoneruns 65%
Overall Tendencyruns 58%
When Trailing Bigpasses 56%
Advanced Intel
Tempo28.1s avg / 30.0s median
Explosive8.2% rush / 18.1% pass
1st Half Opening Drive56% run (n=133)
2nd Half Opening Drive50% pass (n=175)
Data via CFBD API · 2020–2025 seasons · nektarinsights.com/octendenciesFull Profile →