OC Tendencies Scouting Report · April 30, 2026
Brennan Marion
OC · Colorado · Big 12 · 1,832 plays tracked
Run%
59%
Pass%
41%
EPA/Play
+0.26
Colorado 2026–presentUNLV 2023–2024Texas 2022–2022Pitt 2021–2021
Key Findings
Run-first offense59% run rate over 1,832 plays — establishes the run as the primary play-caller identity.
3rd & Very Long: throws it79% pass — 38pp more pass-oriented than the 41% career average (90 plays).
Garbage Time: runs it76% run — 17pp run-heavier than the 59% career average (111 plays).
Goal Line: runs it75% run — 16pp run-heavier than the 59% career average (153 plays).
By Down
1st Down+0.15n=807
64% R
2nd Down+0.17n=587
61% R
3rd Down+0.61n=396
55% P
4th Down+0.49n=42
57% R
3rd Down by Distance
Short (1-3)+0.83n=110
77% R
Medium (4-6)+0.47n=107
57% P
Long (7-9)+0.64n=89
67% P
Very Long (10+)+0.51n=90
79% P
Field Zone
Own Territory+0.30n=1138
56% R
Midfield+0.08n=392
59% R
Red Zone+0.24n=149
66% R
Goal Line+0.47n=153
75% R
Game Script
Up Big+0.38n=567
70% R
Up Close+0.31n=428
55% R
Tied+0.18n=227
59% R
Down Close+0.14n=299
57% R
Down Big+0.17n=311
56% P
Quick Stats
2-Min Drill+0.1944%n=246
52% R
After Big Gain+0.0852%n=219
69% R
After Sack+0.4945%n=47
53% R
Inside Opp 40+0.2048%n=694
64% R
Middle 8+0.2846%n=346
51% P
Post-Event Reactions
Big Gain (15+)+0.08n=219
69% R
Big Gain (20+)+0.11n=141
67% R
Sack+0.49n=47
53% R
Negative Play+0.29n=123
53% R
Stuffed Run+0.25n=142
56% R
1st Down Tendency+0.15n=807
64% R
Drive Openers by Zone
Own Territory+0.26n=295
61% R
Midfield+0.10n=33
61% R
Red Zone+0.34n=11
82% R
Goal Line+0.33n=6
83% R
Predictability Index
After Big Gainruns 69%
Notable pattern on film
3rd & Longpasses 67%
Red Zoneruns 66%
Overall Tendencyruns 59%
When Trailing Bigpasses 56%
Advanced Intel
Tempo28.1s avg / 30.0s median
Play Action0% rate · +0.00 EPA
Explosive8.1% rush / 18.1% pass
1st Half Opening Drive56% run (n=133)
2nd Half Opening Drive50% pass (n=175)
Data via CFBD API · 2020–2025 seasons · nektarinsights.com/octendenciesFull Profile →