OC Tendencies · nektarinsights.com/octendencies · CFBD API 2020–2025
Brennan Marion
Colorado · Big 12
Scouting Report
Run-first offense
59% run rate over 1,832 plays — establishes the run as the primary play-caller identity.
3rd & Very Long: throws it
79% pass — 38pp more pass-oriented than the 41% career average (90 plays).
Garbage Time: runs it
76% run — 17pp run-heavier than the 59% career average (111 plays).
Goal Line: runs it
75% run — 16pp run-heavier than the 59% career average (153 plays).
Career Timeline
Overall Split
58.7%
Run
41.3%
Pass
48.7%
Success Rate
1,832 plays
2-Min Pass %
47.6%
n=246
44% success
After Big Gain
69.4% run
n=219
After Sack
46.8% pass
n=47
Inside Opp 40
63.8% run
n=694
48% success
Middle 8
50.6% pass
n=346
46% success
Tendency Strength — What Defenses Study
How readable is each pattern? Higher = more predictable to opposing coordinators
Shows on film
Run / Pass by Down
3rd Down by Distance
Run / Pass by Field Zone
EPA by Down
Game Script — How Play-Calling Shifts by Score
Run% and Pass% as the score differential changes — left = winning big, right = losing big
Year-over-Year Evolution
EPA / play
Situational Context
Post-Event Tendencies
Drive Opener by Zone