OC Tendencies
← Beau Baldwin Profile

OC Tendencies Scouting Report · May 12, 2026

Beau Baldwin

OC · Arizona State · Big 12 · 790 plays tracked

Run%

43%

Pass%

57%

EPA/Play

+0.14

Arizona State 2023–2023

Key Findings

Pass-first offense57% pass rate over 790 plays — relies on the passing game to drive the offense.
3rd & Very Long: throws it82% pass — 24pp more pass-oriented than the 57% career average (44 plays).
Up Big: runs it63% run — 20pp run-heavier than the 43% career average (43 plays).
Red Zone: runs it53% run — 11pp run-heavier than the 43% career average (49 plays).

By Down

1st Down
51% P
+0.03n=339
2nd Down
60% P
+0.00n=252
3rd Down
66% P
+0.42n=162
4th Down
65% P
+0.75n=37

3rd Down by Distance

Short (1-3)
76% R
+0.63n=33
Medium (4-6)
73% P
+0.46n=48
Long (7-9)
76% P
+0.37n=37
Very Long (10+)
82% P
+0.25n=44

Field Zone

Own Territory
60% P
+0.16n=591
Midfield
59% P
-0.16n=112
Red Zone
53% R
+0.25n=49
Goal Line
79% R
+0.48n=38

Game Script

Up Big
63% R
+0.32n=43
Up Close
53% R
+0.22n=157
Tied
59% P
+0.19n=154
Down Close
63% P
+0.15n=155
Down Big
63% P
+0.02n=281

Quick Stats

2-Min Drill
64% P
+0.1142%n=102
After Big Gain
53% P
+0.0149%n=73
After Sack
56% P
+0.3332%n=25
Inside Opp 40
51% R
+0.0644%n=199
Middle 8
60% P
+0.0741%n=146

Post-Event Reactions

Big Gain (15+)
53% P
+0.01n=73
Big Gain (20+)
56% P
+0.05n=43
Sack
56% P
+0.33n=25
Negative Play
53% P
+0.25n=36
Stuffed Run
53% R
-0.15n=36
1st Down Tendency
51% P
+0.03n=339

Drive Openers by Zone

Own Territory
54% P
+0.14n=138
Midfield
67% R
-0.26n=6

Predictability Index

3rd & Longpasses 76%

Defenses will prepare for this

2-Minute Drillpasses 64%
When Trailing Bigpasses 63%
Overall Tendencypasses 57%
After Big Gainpasses 53%

Advanced Intel

Tempo31.0s avg / 37.0s median
Play Action0% rate · +0.00 EPA
Explosive4.8% rush / 12.8% pass
1st Half Opening Drive60% pass (n=65)
2nd Half Opening Drive57% pass (n=63)
Data via CFBD API · 2020–2025 seasons · nektarinsights.com/octendenciesFull Profile →