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Arizona State · Big 12

Beau Baldwin

1 career stop · 785 offensive plays tracked

His biggest splits

Situations where his run/pass mix moves furthest from his own career average. Picked automatically, so the most extreme splits rise to the top; small samples overstate them. Descriptive, not a prediction.

Pass-first offense

58% pass rate over 785 plays (2020–2025).

3rd & Very Long: throws it

84% pass — 26pp more pass-oriented than the 58% career average (43 plays).

Red Zone: runs it

53% run — 11pp run-heavier than the 42% career average (49 plays).

2-Min Drill: throws it

67% pass — 9pp more pass-oriented than the 58% career average (97 plays).

Career timeline

Arizona StateBig 12
2023–2023

Overall split

42.2%

Run

57.8%

Pass

43.6%

Success rate

785 plays

2-min pass %

67.0%

n=97

44% success

After big gain

45.2% run

n=73

49% success

After sack

56.0% pass

n=25

32% success

Inside opp. 40

50.8% run

n=197

45% success

Middle 8

60.3% pass

n=146

41% success

Historical run/pass imbalance

How far each split sits from 50/50 across this coach's career. Descriptive only, not evaluated as a prediction.

3rd & Longpasses 76%
2-Minute Drillpasses 67%
When Trailing Bigpasses 63%
Overall Tendencypasses 58%
After Big Gainpasses 55%
Red zone (11–20 yds)runs 53%

Run / Pass by Down

3rd Down by Distance

Run / Pass by Field Zone

EPA by Down

Game script: how play-calling shifts by score

Run% and pass% as the score differential changes (left = winning big, right = losing big)

Situational Context

Post-Event Tendencies

Drive Opener by Zone

Advanced analytics

Tempo: pace of play

Average seconds between plays (lower = faster tempo)

30.6s

Avg pace

36.0s

Median

By score state

Up Close
31.1sn=56
Tied
32.8sn=51
Down Big
26.1sn=16

Explosive plays

Rushes 15+ yards and passes 15+ yards as a percentage of total plays

4.8%

Rush explosive

12.8%

Pass explosive

9.4%

Overall

785 plays

Opening script: scripted drives

Run/pass split on opening drives by half

1st Half Opening Drive
60% pass+0.251 EPAn=65
2nd Half Opening Drive
57% pass-0.014 EPAn=63