OC Tendencies scouting report · October 28, 2026
Anthony Soto
OC · Cal Poly · Big Sky · 1,729 plays tracked
51%
Run %
49%
Pass %
+0.26
EPA per play
Cal Poly 2026–present (FCS)Mercer 2024–2025 (FCS)
Every play in this profile comes from FCS games, so it does not compare cleanly with FBS offenses.
Biggest splits vs his own average (descriptive, not a prediction)
Balanced attack51% run / 49% pass over 1,729 plays (2020–2025).
3rd & Long: throws it90% pass — 42pp more pass-oriented than the 49% career average (81 plays).
Garbage Time: runs it66% run — 14pp run-heavier than the 51% career average (184 plays).
After Stuffed Run: throws it62% pass — 13pp more pass-oriented than the 49% career average (157 plays).
By down
1st down+0.12n=796
64% R
2nd down+0.28n=574
51% P
3rd down+0.55n=337
74% P
4th down+0.24n=22
55% R
3rd down by distance
Short (1-3)+0.62n=80
57% R
Medium (4-6)+0.59n=95
82% P
Long (7-9)+0.59n=81
90% P
Very Long (10+)+0.38n=81
80% P
Field zone
Own Territory+0.27n=1192
52% R
Midfield+0.09n=306
55% P
Red Zone+0.17n=122
51% R
Goal Line+0.66n=109
64% R
Game script
Up Big+0.35n=617
51% R
Up Close+0.22n=347
54% R
Tied+0.15n=240
54% R
Down Close+0.37n=209
52% P
Down Big+0.11n=316
51% P
Quick stats
2-Min Drill+0.1945%n=164
59% R
After Big Gain+0.1148%n=231
63% R
After Sack+0.1639%n=38
50% R
Inside Opp 40+0.2248%n=537
50% R
Middle 8+0.4155%n=279
51% P
Post-event reactions
Big Gain (15+)+0.11n=231
63% R
Big Gain (20+)+0.11n=143
62% R
Sack+0.16n=38
50% R
Negative Play+0.45n=146
58% P
Stuffed Run+0.49n=157
62% P
1st Down Tendency+0.12n=796
64% R
Drive openers by zone
Own Territory+0.17n=301
67% R
Midfield+0.04n=23
52% R
Red Zone+0.24n=4
50% R
Goal Line-0.09n=4
75% R
Run/pass imbalance
3rd & Longpasses 90%
After Big Gainruns 63%
2-Minute Drillruns 59%
Overall Tendencyruns 51%
Red zone (11–20 yds)runs 51%
Advanced intel
Tempo30.8s avg / 34.0s median
Explosive7.4% rush / 20.0% pass
1st Half Opening Drive54% pass (n=141)
2nd Half Opening Drive56% pass (n=131)
Data via CFBD API · 2020–2025 seasons · nektarinsights.com/octendenciesFull profile →