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Cal Poly · Big Sky

Anthony Soto

2 career stops · 1,748 offensive plays tracked

Scouting Report

Balanced attack

52% run / 48% pass over 1,748 plays — keeps defenses honest with a near-even split.

3rd & Long: throws it

89% pass — 41pp more pass-oriented than the 48% career average (82 plays).

Garbage Time: runs it

66% run — 14pp run-heavier than the 52% career average (188 plays).

Goal Line: runs it

64% run — 12pp run-heavier than the 52% career average (109 plays).

Career Timeline

Cal PolyBig SkyFCS
2026–present
MercerSouthernFCS
2024–2025

Overall Split

52.0%

Run

48.0%

Pass

48.8%

Success Rate

1,748 plays

2-Min Pass %

37.2%

n=183

40% success

After Big Gain

63.4% run

n=232

47% success

After Sack

50.0% pass

n=38

39% success

Inside Opp 40

50.9% run

n=544

47% success

Middle 8

49.6% pass

n=284

54% success

Tendency Strength — What Defenses Study

How readable is each pattern? Higher = more predictable to opposing coordinators

3rd & Longpasses 89%

Defenses will prep for this

After Big Gainruns 63%
2-Minute Drillruns 63%
Overall Tendencyruns 52%
Red Zoneruns 51%
When Trailing Bigpasses 50%
After Sackruns 50%

Exploitability Index

D41/100

Grade D (41/100) — biggest tell: game script rigidity

Predictabilityσ=0.098

Unpredictable — hard to game-plan

Pressure Response13pp shift

Composed under pressure

Game Script Rigidity2pp swing

Stubborn — same plan regardless of score

Opening Drive Tell6pp deviation

Opener matches overall style

Tempo Tell1.2s shift

Steady tempo — hard to read

Run / Pass by Down

3rd Down by Distance

Run / Pass by Field Zone

EPA by Down

Game Script — How Play-Calling Shifts by Score

Run% and Pass% as the score differential changes — left = winning big, right = losing big

Year-over-Year Evolution

EPA / play

Situational Context

Post-Event Tendencies

Drive Opener by Zone

Advanced Analytics

Tempo — Pace of Play

Average seconds between plays (lower = faster tempo)

30.8s

Avg Pace

34.0s

Median

By Score State

Up Big
32.2sn=146
Up Close
28.1sn=39
Tied
29.9sn=29
Down Big
31.0sn=138
Down Close
27.8sn=38

Explosive Plays

Rushes 15+ yards and passes 15+ yards as a percentage of total plays

7.3%

Rush Explosive

20.0%

Pass Explosive

13.4%

Overall

1,748 plays

Opening Script — Scripted Drives

Run/pass split on opening drives by half

1st Half Opening Drive
54% pass+0.078 EPAn=141
2nd Half Opening Drive
56% pass+0.296 EPAn=131