OC Tendencies · nektarinsights.com/octendencies · CFBD API 2020–2025
Marcus Arroyo
Arizona State · Big 12
Arizona State · Big 12
Marcus Arroyo
2 career stops · 3,720 offensive plays tracked
Scouting Report
Balanced attack
51% run / 49% pass over 3,720 plays — keeps defenses honest with a near-even split.
3rd & Long: throws it
80% pass — 31pp more pass-oriented than the 49% career average (162 plays).
Goal Line: runs it
68% run — 17pp run-heavier than the 51% career average (292 plays).
After Stuffed Run: throws it
58% pass — 9pp more pass-oriented than the 49% career average (307 plays).
Career Timeline
Overall Split
51.1%
Run
48.9%
Pass
46.0%
Success Rate
3,720 plays
2-Min Pass %
53.0%
n=558
45% success
After Big Gain
54.9% run
n=412
52% success
After Sack
56.2% pass
n=137
36% success
Inside Opp 40
55.5% run
n=1277
45% success
Middle 8
52.3% pass
n=731
49% success
Tendency Strength — What Defenses Study
How readable is each pattern? Higher = more predictable to opposing coordinators
Defenses will prep for this
Exploitability Index
Grade D (38/100) — biggest tell: predictability
Moderate variation
Composed under pressure
Moderate adaptation
Opener matches overall style
Steady tempo — hard to read
Run / Pass by Down
3rd Down by Distance
Run / Pass by Field Zone
EPA by Down
Game Script — How Play-Calling Shifts by Score
Run% and Pass% as the score differential changes — left = winning big, right = losing big
Year-over-Year Evolution
EPA / play
Situational Context
Post-Event Tendencies
Drive Opener by Zone
Advanced Analytics
Tempo — Pace of Play
Average seconds between plays (lower = faster tempo)
29.3s
Avg Pace
32.0s
Median
By Score State
Explosive Plays
Rushes 15+ yards and passes 15+ yards as a percentage of total plays
7.0%
Rush Explosive
15.4%
Pass Explosive
11.1%
Overall
3,720 plays
Opening Script — Scripted Drives
Run/pass split on opening drives by half