Utah 2026 · Game Prep Sheet · April 30, 2026
Paul Shelton
UC Davis · Big Sky · 1,780 plays tracked
7/10
HIGH THREAT
Top Tendencies to Know
3rd & Longpasses 89%
Defenses will prepare for this
After Sackpasses 66%
When Trailing Bigpasses 61%
After Big Gainruns 58%
Red Zonepasses 57%
Utah Defense Matchup
Overall Run/Pass— Even
Their OC: runs 48%Utah D: opponents run 46% vs Utah
3rd & Long⚠ Opp Advantage
Their OC: passes 89%, converts 40%Utah D: allowed 80% pass on 3rd & Long
Red Zone— Even
Their OC: runs 43%Utah D: opponents run 49% in RZ
Score: Trailing— Even
Their OC: passes 61% when trailingUtah D: opponents pass 58% when trailing
After Big Play— Even
Their OC: runs 58% after big gainUtah D: opponents run 49% after big gain
2-Min Drill— Even
Their OC: passes 48% in 2-minUtah D: opponents pass 59% in 2-min
Threat Assessment
Elite offensive efficiency
Predictable but elite 3rd & long passer
Situational Tendencies
Red Zone
46% success57% passn=125
3rd & Long
40% success89% passn=57
2-Min Drill
52% success52% runn=262
After Big Gain
52% success58% runn=259
When Trailing Big
54% success61% passn=281
Drive Opener (Own Territory)
59% success60% runn=294
Goal Line
52% success55% runn=164
Advanced Intel
Tempo (Avg Pace)29.0s avg
Explosive Plays7.0% rush / 21.8% pass
Scouting Report
Balanced attack
48% run / 52% pass over 1,780 plays — keeps defenses honest with a near-even split.
3rd & Long: throws it
89% pass — 37pp more pass-oriented than the 52% career average (57 plays).
Garbage Time: runs it
64% run — 16pp run-heavier than the 48% career average (77 plays).
After a Sack: throws it
66% pass — 14pp more pass-oriented than the 52% career average (53 plays).