Utah 2026 · Game prep sheet · October 28, 2026

Paul Shelton

UC Davis · Big Sky · 1,762 plays tracked

Not rated

FCS-only data — not comparable to FBS OCs

Every play in this profile comes from FCS games, so it does not compare cleanly with FBS offenses.

Biggest run/pass imbalances

3rd & Longpasses 89%

After Sackpasses 66%

When Trailing Bigpasses 62%

Red zone (11–20 yds)passes 57%

After Big Gainruns 56%

Utah defense matchup: Scalley-era proxy (2020–25)

Utah's 2026 defense is called by first-year DC Colton Swan (linebackers coach in this system, 2019–25). We have no play-calling history for him, so this compares against what offenses ran on Morgan Scalley's defenses, side by side with no verdict. Descriptive, not a tested prediction.

Overall Run/Pass

Their OC: runs 47%Utah D (2020–25): opponents run 45% vs Utah

3rd & Long

Their OC: passes 89%, 40% success rateUtah D (2020–25): opponents pass 80% vs Utah

Red zone (11–20 yds)

Their OC: runs 43%Utah D (2020–25): opponents run 49% vs Utah

Score: Trailing

Their OC: passes 62% when trailingUtah D (2020–25): opponents pass 58% when trailing

After Big Play

Their OC: runs 56% after big gainUtah D (2020–25): opponents run 49% after big gain

2-Min Drill

Their OC: passes 51% in 2-minUtah D (2020–25): opponents pass 60% in 2-min

Ranking among the FBS OCs we track (descriptive)

Not rated: FCS-only data — not comparable to FBS OCs

Situational tendencies

Red Zone

46% success57% passn=125

3rd & Long

40% success89% passn=57

2-Min Drill

55% success51% passn=245

After Big Gain

53% success56% runn=255

When Trailing Big

56% success62% passn=291

Drive Opener (Own Territory)

59% success59% runn=288

Goal Line

52% success55% runn=164

Advanced intel

Tempo (avg pace)29.0s avg

Explosive plays7.0% rush / 21.8% pass

Biggest splits vs his own average (descriptive, not a prediction)

Balanced attack

47% run / 53% pass over 1,762 plays (2020–2025).

3rd & Long: throws it

89% pass — 37pp more pass-oriented than the 53% career average (57 plays).

Garbage Time: runs it

64% run — 17pp run-heavier than the 47% career average (76 plays).

After a Sack: throws it

66% pass — 13pp more pass-oriented than the 53% career average (53 plays).

Full profile →Matchup page →Utah vs UC Davis Defense →