Utah 2026 · Game Prep Sheet · September 13, 2026
Paul Shelton
UC Davis · Big Sky · 1,762 plays tracked
7/10
HIGH THREAT
Biggest Run/Pass Imbalances
3rd & Longpasses 89%
After Sackpasses 66%
When Trailing Bigpasses 62%
Red Zonepasses 57%
After Big Gainruns 56%
Utah Defense Matchup
Overall Run/Pass— Even
Their OC: runs 47%Utah D: opponents run 45% vs Utah
3rd & Long⚠ Opp Advantage
Their OC: passes 89%, converts 40%Utah D: allowed 80% pass on 3rd & Long
Red Zone— Even
Their OC: runs 43%Utah D: opponents run 49% in RZ
Score: Trailing— Even
Their OC: passes 62% when trailingUtah D: opponents pass 58% when trailing
After Big Play— Even
Their OC: runs 56% after big gainUtah D: opponents run 49% after big gain
2-Min Drill— Even
Their OC: passes 51% in 2-minUtah D: opponents pass 60% in 2-min
Threat Assessment
Elite offensive efficiency
Predictable but elite 3rd & long passer
Situational Tendencies
Red Zone
46% success57% passn=125
3rd & Long
40% success89% passn=57
2-Min Drill
55% success51% passn=245
After Big Gain
53% success56% runn=255
When Trailing Big
56% success62% passn=291
Drive Opener (Own Territory)
59% success59% runn=288
Goal Line
52% success55% runn=164
Advanced Intel
Tempo (Avg Pace)29.0s avg
Explosive Plays7.0% rush / 21.8% pass
Scouting Report
Balanced attack
47% run / 53% pass over 1,762 plays — keeps defenses honest with a near-even split.
3rd & Long: throws it
89% pass — 37pp more pass-oriented than the 53% career average (57 plays).
Garbage Time: runs it
64% run — 17pp run-heavier than the 47% career average (76 plays).
After a Sack: throws it
66% pass — 13pp more pass-oriented than the 53% career average (53 plays).