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Utah 2026 · Game prep sheet · November 9, 2026

Pat Shurmur

Colorado · Big 12 · 2,385 plays tracked

Efficiency

22nd of 27

among the FBS OCs we track

Biggest run/pass imbalances

3rd & Longpasses 84%
2-Minute Drillpasses 65%
When Trailing Bigpasses 62%
Overall Tendencypasses 60%
Red zone (11–20 yds)passes 59%

Utah defense matchup: Scalley-era proxy (2020–25)

Utah's 2026 defense is called by first-year DC Colton Swan (linebackers coach in this system, 2019–25). We have no play-calling history for him, so this compares against what offenses ran on Morgan Scalley's defenses, side by side with no verdict. Descriptive, not a tested prediction.

Overall Run/Pass
Their OC: runs 40%Utah D (2020–25): opponents run 45% vs Utah
3rd & Long
Their OC: passes 84%, 27% success rateUtah D (2020–25): opponents pass 80% vs Utah
Red zone (11–20 yds)
Their OC: runs 41%Utah D (2020–25): opponents run 49% vs Utah
Score: Trailing
Their OC: passes 62% when trailingUtah D (2020–25): opponents pass 58% when trailing
After Big Play
Their OC: runs 50% after big gainUtah D (2020–25): opponents run 49% after big gain
2-Min Drill
Their OC: passes 65% in 2-minUtah D (2020–25): opponents pass 60% in 2-min

Ranking among the FBS OCs we track (descriptive)

Efficiency (EPA/play)22nd of 27
Inside the 20 (EPA/play)11th of 23
3rd-down success18th of 25

1st = best. 2020–2025 FBS data only; describes the past, not a tested prediction.

Situational tendencies

Red Zone
44% success59% passn=162
3rd & Long
27% success84% passn=108
2-Min Drill
47% success65% passn=344
After Big Gain
47% success50% runn=272
When Trailing Big
43% success62% passn=691
Drive Opener (Own Territory)
45% success50% runn=408
Goal Line
58% success54% runn=139

Advanced intel

Tempo (avg pace)26.8s avg
Explosive plays5.6% rush / 15.6% pass

Biggest splits vs his own average (descriptive, not a prediction)

Pass-first offense

60% pass rate over 2,385 plays (2020–2025).

3rd & Medium: throws it

87% pass — 27pp more pass-oriented than the 60% career average (104 plays).

Goal Line: runs it

54% run — 14pp run-heavier than the 40% career average (139 plays).

After Big Gain: runs it

50% run — 10pp run-heavier than the 40% career average (272 plays).