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Northern Arizona · Big Sky

Bryan Larson

1 career stop · 738 offensive plays tracked

Every play in this profile comes from FCS games, so it does not compare cleanly with FBS offenses.

His biggest splits

Situations where his run/pass mix moves furthest from his own career average. Picked automatically, so the most extreme splits rise to the top; small samples overstate them. Descriptive, not a prediction.

Balanced attack

48% run / 52% pass over 738 plays (2020–2025).

Goal Line: runs it

70% run — 21pp run-heavier than the 48% career average (56 plays).

3rd & Medium: throws it

72% pass — 20pp more pass-oriented than the 52% career average (46 plays).

Garbage Time: runs it

68% run — 19pp run-heavier than the 48% career average (40 plays).

Career timeline

Northern ArizonaBig SkyFCS
2025–present

Overall split

48.4%

Run

51.6%

Pass

48.0%

Success rate

738 plays

2-min pass %

53.8%

n=104

50% success

After big gain

57.1% run

n=91

57% success

After sack

80.0% pass

n=15

40% success

Inside opp. 40

54.3% run

n=265

49% success

Middle 8

58.8% pass

n=131

50% success

Historical run/pass imbalance

How far each split sits from 50/50 across this coach's career. Descriptive only, not evaluated as a prediction.

When Trailing Bigpasses 65%
After Big Gainruns 57%
Red zone (11–20 yds)runs 57%
2-Minute Drillpasses 54%
Overall Tendencypasses 52%

Run / Pass by Down

3rd Down by Distance

Run / Pass by Field Zone

EPA by Down

Game script: how play-calling shifts by score

Run% and pass% as the score differential changes (left = winning big, right = losing big)

Situational Context

Post-Event Tendencies

Drive Opener by Zone

Advanced analytics

Tempo: pace of play

Average seconds between plays (lower = faster tempo)

27.0s

Avg pace

30.0s

Median

By score state

Up Big
28.1sn=36
Up Close
21.8sn=16
Tied
33.3sn=6
Down Big
26.3sn=55
Down Close
30.2sn=15

Explosive plays

Rushes 15+ yards and passes 15+ yards as a percentage of total plays

7.0%

Rush explosive

17.3%

Pass explosive

12.3%

Overall

738 plays

Opening script: scripted drives

Run/pass split on opening drives by half

1st Half Opening Drive
52% run+0.248 EPAn=63
2nd Half Opening Drive
53% run+0.347 EPAn=58