OC Tendencies · nektarinsights.com/octendencies · CFBD API 2020–2025
Bryan Larson
Northern Arizona · Big Sky
Northern Arizona · Big Sky
Bryan Larson
1 career stop · 741 offensive plays tracked
Scouting Report
Balanced attack
49% run / 51% pass over 741 plays — keeps defenses honest with a near-even split.
Goal Line: runs it
70% run — 21pp run-heavier than the 49% career average (56 plays).
3rd & Medium: throws it
72% pass — 20pp more pass-oriented than the 51% career average (46 plays).
Up Big: runs it
63% run — 15pp run-heavier than the 49% career average (167 plays).
Career Timeline
Overall Split
48.6%
Run
51.4%
Pass
47.8%
Success Rate
741 plays
2-Min Pass %
52.3%
n=107
49% success
After Big Gain
57.1% run
n=91
57% success
After Sack
80.0% pass
n=15
40% success
Inside Opp 40
54.3% run
n=265
49% success
Middle 8
58.8% pass
n=131
50% success
Tendency Strength — What Defenses Study
How readable is each pattern? Higher = more predictable to opposing coordinators
Exploitability Index
Grade D (33/100) — biggest tell: pressure response
Unpredictable — hard to game-plan
Panics under pressure — clear tell
Highly adaptive to game flow
Opener matches overall style
Steady tempo — hard to read
Run / Pass by Down
3rd Down by Distance
Run / Pass by Field Zone
EPA by Down
Game Script — How Play-Calling Shifts by Score
Run% and Pass% as the score differential changes — left = winning big, right = losing big
Situational Context
Post-Event Tendencies
Drive Opener by Zone
Advanced Analytics
Tempo — Pace of Play
Average seconds between plays (lower = faster tempo)
27.0s
Avg Pace
30.0s
Median
By Score State
Explosive Plays
Rushes 15+ yards and passes 15+ yards as a percentage of total plays
6.9%
Rush Explosive
17.3%
Pass Explosive
12.3%
Overall
741 plays
Opening Script — Scripted Drives
Run/pass split on opening drives by half