OC Tendencies · nektarinsights.com/octendencies · CFBD API 2020–2025
Andy Kotelnicki
Kansas · Big 12
Kansas · Big 12
Andy Kotelnicki
3 career stops · 4,623 offensive plays tracked
His biggest splits
Situations where his run/pass mix moves furthest from his own career average. Picked automatically, so the most extreme splits rise to the top; small samples overstate them. Descriptive, not a prediction.
Run-first offense
57% run rate over 4,623 plays (2020–2025).
3rd & Very Long: throws it
74% pass — 30pp more pass-oriented than the 43% career average (185 plays).
Goal Line: runs it
76% run — 19pp run-heavier than the 57% career average (376 plays).
Garbage Time: runs it
70% run — 14pp run-heavier than the 57% career average (330 plays).
Career timeline
Overall split
56.7%
Run
43.3%
Pass
51.4%
Success rate
4,623 plays
2-min pass %
49.4%
n=686
48% success
After big gain
65.5% run
n=606
53% success
After sack
55.4% pass
n=74
43% success
Inside opp. 40
61.3% run
n=1663
51% success
Middle 8
48.3% pass
n=863
52% success
Historical run/pass imbalance
How far each split sits from 50/50 across this coach's career. Descriptive only, not evaluated as a prediction.
Run / Pass by Down
3rd Down by Distance
Run / Pass by Field Zone
EPA by Down
Game script: how play-calling shifts by score
Run% and pass% as the score differential changes (left = winning big, right = losing big)
Year-over-Year Evolution
EPA per play
Situational Context
Post-Event Tendencies
Drive Opener by Zone
Advanced analytics
Tempo: pace of play
Average seconds between plays (lower = faster tempo)
29.5s
Avg pace
33.0s
Median
By score state
Explosive plays
Rushes 15+ yards and passes 15+ yards as a percentage of total plays
8.1%
Rush explosive
20.0%
Pass explosive
13.3%
Overall
4,623 plays
Opening script: scripted drives
Run/pass split on opening drives by half