OC Tendencies · nektarinsights.com/octendencies · CFBD API 2020–2025
Andy Kotelnicki
Penn State · Big Ten
Penn State · Big Ten
Andy Kotelnicki
3 career stops · 4,623 offensive plays tracked
Scouting Report
Run-first offense
57% run rate over 4,623 plays — establishes the run as the primary play-caller identity.
3rd & Very Long: throws it
74% pass — 30pp more pass-oriented than the 43% career average (185 plays).
Goal Line: runs it
76% run — 19pp run-heavier than the 57% career average (376 plays).
Garbage Time: runs it
70% run — 14pp run-heavier than the 57% career average (330 plays).
Career Timeline
Overall Split
56.7%
Run
43.3%
Pass
51.4%
Success Rate
4,623 plays
2-Min Pass %
49.4%
n=686
48% success
After Big Gain
65.5% run
n=606
53% success
After Sack
55.4% pass
n=74
43% success
Inside Opp 40
61.3% run
n=1663
51% success
Middle 8
48.3% pass
n=863
52% success
Historical Run/Pass Imbalance
How far each split sits from 50/50 across this coach's career. Descriptive only — not evaluated as a prediction.
Run / Pass by Down
3rd Down by Distance
Run / Pass by Field Zone
EPA by Down
Game Script — How Play-Calling Shifts by Score
Run% and Pass% as the score differential changes — left = winning big, right = losing big
Year-over-Year Evolution
EPA / play
Situational Context
Post-Event Tendencies
Drive Opener by Zone
Advanced Analytics
Tempo — Pace of Play
Average seconds between plays (lower = faster tempo)
29.5s
Avg Pace
33.0s
Median
By Score State
Explosive Plays
Rushes 15+ yards and passes 15+ yards as a percentage of total plays
8.1%
Rush Explosive
20.0%
Pass Explosive
13.3%
Overall
4,623 plays
Opening Script — Scripted Drives
Run/pass split on opening drives by half