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Southern Jaguars

Southern Jaguars

SWACOTHER

2025-26 Drought Profile · 29 games played · 17-16 (52%)

Southern Jaguars ranks 1st of 12 SWAC teams in droughts per game (1.38 dpg, below the SWAC average of 1.85). Their droughts average 3:58 — near the SWAC norm — and have allowed opponents an average of 7.5 pts per drought, contributing to 9 influenced losses (2 decisive/major) this season.

Drought Profile

Droughts/Game

1.38

Conf avg: 1.8 · #1 of 12 in SWAC

1st in SWAC

-0.47/game vs SWAC avg

#1 in SWAC (12 teams)

Avg Duration

3:58

Conf avg: 237.6 · #6 of 12 in SWAC

+0:01 vs SWAC avg

How long cold streaks typically last

Avg Pts Allowed

7.5

Conf avg: 7.8 · #7 of 12 in SWAC

-0.3 pts vs SWAC avg

Opponent points scored per drought

Game Impact

Influenced Losses

9

2 decisive/major — close losses where droughts swung the margin

Timeout Rate

23%

Coach called a timeout in 9 of 40 droughts

Record w/ 2+ Droughts

2-5

vs 15-11 in games with 0–1 droughts

Drought Trend This Season
Droughts per game over the season with a 3-game rolling average. Season average: 1.4 droughts/game.
When Droughts Happen
Shows when droughts begin in each 2-minute window throughout the game. Counts total to 40 droughts. Dashed line shows the conference average.
Half Breakdown
1st half vs 2nd half: does this team adjust at halftime or get worse?
1st Half
28
droughts · avg 4:02
2nd Half
12
droughts · avg 3:49
Drought Cost by Severity
How damaging are each tier of drought? Longer droughts allow more opponent points — see if critical ones truly hurt more.
Notable (3–4 min)
22
55% of droughts
6.5 pts allowed
Significant (4–5 min)
13
33% of droughts
7.9 pts allowed
Critical (5+ min)
5
13% of droughts
11.2 pts allowed

Avg. opponent points scored during drought

Notable (3–4 min)
6.5 pts
Significant (4–5 min)
7.9 pts
Critical (5+ min)
11.2 pts

Key Takeaway

Critical droughts allow 72% more points than notable ones (11.2 vs 6.5 pts). Longer droughts cost significantly more.

Drought-Ending Shots
What shot finally breaks the cold streak? Zone intensity = frequency.
3-PT(28%)2-PT(62%)FT(10%)
3-Ptr (11, 28%)2-Ptr (24, 62%)FT (4, 10%)
Score Differential by Game
Every game plotted over 40 minutes — positive = team leading, negative = trailing. Hover a game in the sidebar to highlight its path through the season.
Mar 14
Prairie View A&M Panthersvs Prairie View A&M Panthers
L 66–72
Mar 13
Florida A&M Rattlers@ Florida A&M Rattlers
W 73–70
Mar 12
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lionsvs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions
W 84–81
Mar 5
Alabama A&M Bulldogs@ Alabama A&M Bulldogs
W 88–85
Mar 3
Alabama State Hornets@ Alabama State Hornets
W 71–64
Feb 28
Bethune-Cookman Wildcatsvs Bethune-Cookman Wildcats
L 79–82
Feb 26
Florida A&M Rattlersvs Florida A&M Rattlers
L 71–82
Feb 21
Grambling Tigersvs Grambling Tigers
W 87–73
Feb 16
Texas Southern Tigers@ Texas Southern Tigers
L 73–74
Feb 14
Prairie View A&M Panthers@ Prairie View A&M Panthers
W 87–82
Feb 9
Alabama State Hornetsvs Alabama State Hornets
W 69–68
Feb 7
Alabama A&M Bulldogsvs Alabama A&M Bulldogs
W 81–68
Feb 2
Jackson State Tigers@ Jackson State Tigers
W 96–91
Jan 31
Alcorn State Braves@ Alcorn State Braves
L 73–78
Jan 28
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devilsvs Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils
W 80–69
Jan 24
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lionsvs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions
L 74–75
Jan 17
Grambling Tigers@ Grambling Tigers
W 71–53
Jan 12
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats@ Bethune-Cookman Wildcats
W 77–73
Jan 10
Florida A&M Rattlers@ Florida A&M Rattlers
L 59–67
Jan 5
Prairie View A&M Panthersvs Prairie View A&M Panthers
L 85–89
Jan 3
Texas Southern Tigersvs Texas Southern Tigers
W 84–73
Dec 29
Illinois Fighting Illini@ Illinois Fighting Illini
L 55–90
Dec 21
Baylor Bears@ Baylor Bears
L 67–111
Dec 16
California Baptist Lancers@ California Baptist Lancers
L 67–75
Dec 10
Texas State Bobcats@ Texas State Bobcats
L 83–86
Dec 8
Texas Longhorns@ Texas Longhorns
L 69–95
Dec 1
vs Louisiana Christian Wildcats
W 101–48
Nov 29
Northwestern State Demons@ Northwestern State Demons
W 75–73
Nov 21
San José State Spartans@ San José State Spartans
L 66–80
Nov 18
Washington Huskies@ Washington Huskies
L 93–99
Nov 15
vs Champion Christian Tigers
W 129–64
Nov 10
vs Ecclesia Royals
W 115–51
Nov 5
Marquette Golden Eagles@ Marquette Golden Eagles
L 82–100
← Opponent leading← Game time →Team leading →
Game Log
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
DateOpponentScore (H-A)Droughts
Mar 14Prairie View A&M Panthersvs Prairie View A&M PanthersL 66-72
1
Mar 13Florida A&M Rattlers@ Florida A&M RattlersW 70-73
1
Mar 12Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lionsvs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden LionsW 84-81
1
Mar 5Alabama A&M Bulldogs@ Alabama A&M BulldogsW 85-880
Mar 3Alabama State Hornets@ Alabama State HornetsW 64-71
1
Feb 28Bethune-Cookman Wildcatsvs Bethune-Cookman WildcatsL 79-82
1
Feb 26Florida A&M Rattlersvs Florida A&M RattlersL 71-82
3
Feb 21Grambling Tigersvs Grambling TigersW 87-73
1
Feb 16Texas Southern Tigers@ Texas Southern TigersL 74-73
3
Feb 14Prairie View A&M Panthers@ Prairie View A&M PanthersW 82-87
1
Feb 9Alabama State Hornetsvs Alabama State HornetsW 69-68
2
Feb 7Alabama A&M Bulldogsvs Alabama A&M BulldogsW 81-68
1
Feb 2Jackson State Tigers@ Jackson State TigersW 91-96
1
Jan 31Alcorn State Braves@ Alcorn State BravesL 78-73
2
Jan 28Mississippi Valley State Delta Devilsvs Mississippi Valley State Delta DevilsW 80-690
Jan 24Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lionsvs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden LionsL 74-750
Jan 17Grambling Tigers@ Grambling TigersW 53-71
1
Jan 12Bethune-Cookman Wildcats@ Bethune-Cookman WildcatsW 73-77
1
Jan 10Florida A&M Rattlers@ Florida A&M RattlersL 67-59
1
Jan 5Prairie View A&M Panthersvs Prairie View A&M PanthersL 85-89
1
Jan 3Texas Southern Tigersvs Texas Southern TigersW 84-73
3
Dec 29Illinois Fighting Illini@ Illinois Fighting IlliniL 90-55
2
Dec 21Baylor Bears@ Baylor BearsL 111-67
1
Dec 16California Baptist Lancers@ California Baptist LancersL 75-67
1
Dec 10Texas State Bobcats@ Texas State BobcatsL 86-83
3
Dec 8Texas Longhorns@ Texas LonghornsL 95-69
1
Dec 1vs Louisiana Christian WildcatsW 101-48
1
Nov 29Northwestern State Demons@ Northwestern State DemonsW 73-75
1
Nov 21San José State Spartans@ San José State SpartansL 80-66
1
Nov 18Washington Huskies@ Washington HuskiesL 99-93
1
Nov 15vs Champion Christian TigersW 129-640
Nov 10vs Ecclesia RoyalsW 115-51
1
Nov 5Marquette Golden Eagles@ Marquette Golden EaglesL 100-82
1
Drought-Influenced Losses
Close losses (≤15 pts) where droughts significantly impacted the outcome. "Defensive cost" = points allowed during drought periods.
Texas Southern Tigers@ Texas Southern TigersL 73-74Feb 16
25 pts allowed during 3 droughts (33.8% of 1-pt margin)
Major Factor
Florida A&M Rattlersvs Florida A&M RattlersL 71-82Feb 26
21 pts allowed during 3 droughts (25.6% of 11-pt margin)
Major Factor
Bethune-Cookman Wildcatsvs Bethune-Cookman WildcatsL 79-82Feb 28
19 pts allowed during 1 drought (23.2% of 3-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Alcorn State Braves@ Alcorn State BravesL 73-78Jan 31
16 pts allowed during 2 droughts (20.5% of 5-pt margin)
Significant Factor
San José State Spartans@ San José State SpartansL 66-80Nov 21
13 pts allowed during 1 drought (16.3% of 14-pt margin)
Significant Factor
California Baptist Lancers@ California Baptist LancersL 67-75Dec 16
12 pts allowed during 1 drought (16% of 8-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Texas State Bobcats@ Texas State BobcatsL 83-86Dec 10
12 pts allowed during 3 droughts (14% of 3-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Prairie View A&M Panthersvs Prairie View A&M PanthersL 66-72Mar 14
10 pts allowed during 1 drought (13.9% of 6-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Washington Huskies@ Washington HuskiesL 93-99Nov 18
8 pts allowed during 1 drought (8.1% of 6-pt margin)
Minor Factor
Drought Killers
Players who most often ended Southern Jaguars scoring droughts this season.
1
TJ
Terrance Dixon Jr.
50% clutchⓘ
8
2
MA
Malek Abdelgowad
57% clutchⓘ
7
3
AB
AJ Barnes
71% clutchⓘ
7
4
MJ
Michael Jacobs
50% clutchⓘ
6
5
CA
Cam Amboree
25% clutchⓘ
4
6
FO
Fazl Oshodi
100% clutchⓘ
4
3PT
2PT
FT