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Tuesday, December 16, 2025

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

California Baptist Lancers

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:54

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 10 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~1→3

+2

Pts ceded

~10→25

+15

Southern Jaguars

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:58

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 13 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As expected

Droughts

~2→1

-1

Pts ceded

~13→12

-1

California Baptist Lancers averages 1 droughts/game  · Southern Jaguars forces 1 opp. droughts/game

4

Total droughts

Both teams combined

3

California Baptist Lancers droughts

1

Southern Jaguars droughts

4:33

Longest drought

Southern Jaguars

37

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

California Baptist Lancers drought cost

3 droughts • 25 pts drought cost

25

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Southern Jaguars drought cost

1 drought • 12 pts drought cost

12

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
California Baptist Lancers

California Baptist Lancers

3
1H → 2Hsignificant

Score: 34 → 35 · Opponent scored 10 pts

Ended by: Martel Williams makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

4:23

10.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 15 → 18 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Dominique Daniels Jr. makes 23-foot three point jumper (Jordan Muller assists)

3-Pointer

3:12

6.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 64 → 65 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Dominique Daniels Jr. makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:10

9.0 pts

Southern Jaguars

Southern Jaguars

1
2nd HalfsignificantTO called

Score: 37 → 40 · Opponent scored 12 pts

Ended by: Malek Abdelgowad makes 24-foot three point jumper (AJ Barnes assists)

3-Pointer

4:33

12.0 pts