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Ole Miss Rebels

Ole Miss Rebels

SECP4

2025-26 Drought Profile · 26 games played · 14-20 (41%)

Ole Miss Rebels ranks 13th of 16 SEC teams in droughts per game (1.65 dpg, above the SEC average of 1.53). Their droughts average 3:55 — +0:09 above the SEC norm — and have allowed opponents an average of 6.4 pts per drought, contributing to 10 influenced losses (1 decisive/major) this season.

Drought Profile

Droughts/Game

1.65

Conf avg: 1.5 · #13 of 16 in SEC

13th in SEC

+0.12/game vs SEC avg

#13 in SEC (16 teams)

Avg Duration

3:55

Conf avg: 226.8 · #14 of 16 in SEC

+0:09 vs SEC avg

How long cold streaks typically last

Avg Pts Allowed

6.4

Conf avg: 7.5 · #2 of 16 in SEC

-1.2 pts vs SEC avg

Opponent points scored per drought

Game Impact

Influenced Losses

10

1 decisive/major — close losses where droughts swung the margin

Timeout Rate

30%

Coach called a timeout in 13 of 43 droughts

Record w/ 2+ Droughts

3-12

vs 11-8 in games with 0–1 droughts

Drought Trend This Season
Droughts per game over the season with a 3-game rolling average. Season average: 1.6 droughts/game.
When Droughts Happen
Shows when droughts begin in each 2-minute window throughout the game. Counts total to 43 droughts. Dashed line shows the conference average.
Half Breakdown
1st half vs 2nd half: does this team adjust at halftime or get worse?
1st Half
32
droughts · avg 4:01
2nd Half
11
droughts · avg 3:37
Drought Cost by Severity
How damaging are each tier of drought? Longer droughts allow more opponent points — see if critical ones truly hurt more.
Notable (3–4 min)
31
72% of droughts
5.7 pts allowed
Significant (4–5 min)
7
16% of droughts
6.3 pts allowed
Critical (5+ min)
5
12% of droughts
10.6 pts allowed

Avg. opponent points scored during drought

Notable (3–4 min)
5.7 pts
Significant (4–5 min)
6.3 pts
Critical (5+ min)
10.6 pts

Key Takeaway

Critical droughts allow 86% more points than notable ones (10.6 vs 5.7 pts). Longer droughts cost significantly more.

Drought-Ending Shots
What shot finally breaks the cold streak? Zone intensity = frequency.
3-PT(19%)2-PT(77%)FT(5%)
3-Ptr (8, 19%)2-Ptr (33, 77%)FT (2, 5%)
Score Differential by Game
Every game plotted over 40 minutes — positive = team leading, negative = trailing. Hover a game in the sidebar to highlight its path through the season.
Mar 14
Arkansas Razorbacks@ Arkansas Razorbacks
L 90–93
Mar 13
Alabama Crimson Tide@ Alabama Crimson Tide
W 80–79
Mar 12
Georgia Bulldogs@ Georgia Bulldogs
W 76–72
Mar 11
Texas Longhorns@ Texas Longhorns
W 76–66
Mar 7
South Carolina Gamecocksvs South Carolina Gamecocks
L 61–64
Mar 3
Vanderbilt Commodoresvs Vanderbilt Commodores
L 86–89
Feb 28
Auburn Tigers@ Auburn Tigers
W 85–79
Feb 25
LSU Tigersvs LSU Tigers
L 99–103
Feb 21
Florida Gatorsvs Florida Gators
L 75–94
Feb 18
Texas A&M Aggies@ Texas A&M Aggies
L 77–80
Feb 14
Mississippi State Bulldogsvs Mississippi State Bulldogs
L 78–90
Feb 11
Alabama Crimson Tidevs Alabama Crimson Tide
L 74–93
Feb 7
Texas Longhorns@ Texas Longhorns
L 68–79
Feb 3
Tennessee Volunteers@ Tennessee Volunteers
L 66–84
Jan 31
Vanderbilt Commodores@ Vanderbilt Commodores
L 68–71
Jan 24
Kentucky Wildcats@ Kentucky Wildcats
L 63–72
Jan 20
Auburn Tigersvs Auburn Tigers
L 66–78
Jan 17
Mississippi State Bulldogs@ Mississippi State Bulldogs
W 68–67
Jan 14
Georgia Bulldogs@ Georgia Bulldogs
W 97–95
Jan 10
Missouri Tigersvs Missouri Tigers
W 76–69
Jan 7
Arkansas Razorbacksvs Arkansas Razorbacks
L 87–94
Jan 3
Oklahoma Sooners@ Oklahoma Sooners
L 70–86
Dec 29
Alcorn State Bravesvs Alcorn State Braves
W 79–43
Dec 21
NC State Wolfpack@ NC State Wolfpack
L 62–76
Dec 17
Alabama A&M Bulldogsvs Alabama A&M Bulldogs
W 80–66
Dec 13
Southern Miss Golden Eaglesvs Southern Miss Golden Eagles
W 71–67
Dec 6
St. John's Red Storm@ St. John's Red Storm
L 58–63
Dec 2
Miami Hurricanesvs Miami Hurricanes
L 66–75
Nov 26
Utah Utesvs Utah Utes
L 74–75
Nov 25
Iowa Hawkeyes@ Iowa Hawkeyes
L 69–74
Nov 18
Austin Peay Governorsvs Austin Peay Governors
W 72–65
Nov 14
Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunnersvs Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners
W 82–60
Nov 11
Memphis Tigersvs Memphis Tigers
W 83–77
Nov 7
UL Monroe Warhawksvs UL Monroe Warhawks
W 86–65
← Opponent leading← Game time →Team leading →
Game Log
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
DateOpponentScore (H-A)Droughts
Mar 14Arkansas Razorbacks@ Arkansas RazorbacksL 93-90
2
Mar 13Alabama Crimson Tide@ Alabama Crimson Tide0
Mar 12Georgia Bulldogs@ Georgia BulldogsW 72-76
1
Mar 11Texas Longhorns@ Texas LonghornsW 66-760
Mar 7South Carolina Gamecocksvs South Carolina GamecocksL 61-64
1
Mar 3Vanderbilt Commodoresvs Vanderbilt CommodoresL 86-89
1
Feb 28Auburn Tigers@ Auburn TigersW 79-85
2
Feb 25LSU Tigersvs LSU TigersL 99-103
1
Feb 21Florida Gatorsvs Florida GatorsL 75-94
2
Feb 18Texas A&M Aggies@ Texas A&M AggiesL 80-77
1
Feb 14Mississippi State Bulldogsvs Mississippi State BulldogsL 78-90
2
Feb 11Alabama Crimson Tidevs Alabama Crimson TideL 74-93
2
Feb 7Texas Longhorns@ Texas LonghornsL 79-68
1
Feb 3Tennessee Volunteers@ Tennessee VolunteersL 84-66
3
Jan 31Vanderbilt Commodores@ Vanderbilt CommodoresL 71-68
2
Jan 24Kentucky Wildcats@ Kentucky WildcatsL 72-63
2
Jan 20Auburn Tigersvs Auburn TigersL 66-78
3
Jan 17Mississippi State Bulldogs@ Mississippi State BulldogsW 67-68
1
Jan 14Georgia Bulldogs@ Georgia BulldogsW 95-970
Jan 10Missouri Tigersvs Missouri TigersW 76-69
1
Jan 7Arkansas Razorbacksvs Arkansas RazorbacksL 87-94
1
Jan 3Oklahoma Sooners@ Oklahoma SoonersL 86-70
2
Dec 29Alcorn State Bravesvs Alcorn State BravesW 79-430
Dec 21NC State Wolfpack@ NC State WolfpackL 76-62
2
Dec 17Alabama A&M Bulldogsvs Alabama A&M BulldogsW 80-660
Dec 13Southern Miss Golden Eaglesvs Southern Miss Golden EaglesW 71-670
Dec 6St. John's Red Storm@ St. John's Red StormL 63-58
2
Dec 2Miami Hurricanesvs Miami HurricanesL 66-750
Nov 26Utah Utesvs Utah UtesL 74-750
Nov 25Iowa Hawkeyes@ Iowa HawkeyesL 74-69
2
Nov 18Austin Peay Governorsvs Austin Peay GovernorsW 72-65
2
Nov 14Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunnersvs Cal State Bakersfield RoadrunnersW 82-60
1
Nov 11Memphis Tigersvs Memphis TigersW 83-77
2
Nov 7UL Monroe Warhawksvs UL Monroe WarhawksW 86-65
1
Drought-Influenced Losses
Close losses (≤15 pts) where droughts significantly impacted the outcome. "Defensive cost" = points allowed during drought periods.
NC State Wolfpack@ NC State WolfpackL 62-76Dec 21
23 pts allowed during 2 droughts (30.3% of 14-pt margin)
Major Factor
Mississippi State Bulldogsvs Mississippi State BulldogsL 78-90Feb 14
22 pts allowed during 2 droughts (24.4% of 12-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Auburn Tigersvs Auburn TigersL 66-78Jan 20
18 pts allowed during 3 droughts (23.1% of 12-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Arkansas Razorbacks@ Arkansas RazorbacksL 90-93Mar 14
18 pts allowed during 2 droughts (19.4% of 3-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Texas Longhorns@ Texas LonghornsL 68-79Feb 7
16 pts allowed during 1 drought (20.3% of 11-pt margin)
Significant Factor
St. John's Red Storm@ St. John's Red StormL 58-63Dec 6
12 pts allowed during 2 droughts (19% of 5-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Kentucky Wildcats@ Kentucky WildcatsL 63-72Jan 24
11 pts allowed during 2 droughts (15.3% of 9-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Arkansas Razorbacksvs Arkansas RazorbacksL 87-94Jan 7
11 pts allowed during 1 drought (11.7% of 7-pt margin)
Minor Factor
Iowa Hawkeyes@ Iowa HawkeyesL 69-74Nov 25
10 pts allowed during 2 droughts (13.5% of 5-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Vanderbilt Commodores@ Vanderbilt CommodoresL 68-71Jan 31
10 pts allowed during 2 droughts (14.1% of 3-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Drought Killers
Players who most often ended Ole Miss Rebels scoring droughts this season.
1
CC
Corey Chest
50% clutchⓘ
8
2
PP
Patton Pinkins
29% clutchⓘ
7
3
MD
Malik Dia
14% clutchⓘ
7
4
AS
AJ Storr
14% clutchⓘ
7
5
IK
Ilias Kamardine
57% clutchⓘ
7
6
KG
Kezza Giffa
0% clutchⓘ
4
3PT
2PT
FT