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Saturday, January 31, 2026

Conference game
Vanderbilt CommodoresVanderbilt Commodores

71

vs
Ole Miss RebelsOle Miss Rebels

68

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Vanderbilt Commodores

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:35

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 9 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~1→3

+2

Pts ceded

~9→14

+5

Ole Miss Rebels

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:55

avg duration

6

pts/drought

est. 9 pts ceded/game

Final results

~ Worse than expected

Droughts

~1→2

+1

Pts ceded

~9→10

+1

Vanderbilt Commodores averages 1 droughts/game  · Ole Miss Rebels forces 2 opp. droughts/game

5

Total droughts

Both teams combined

3

Vanderbilt Commodores droughts

2

Ole Miss Rebels droughts

4:18

Longest drought

Ole Miss Rebels

24

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Ole Miss Rebels drought cost

2 droughts • 10 pts drought cost

10

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Vanderbilt Commodores drought cost

3 droughts • 14 pts drought cost

14

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Vanderbilt Commodores

Vanderbilt Commodores

3
1st Halfnotable

Score: 23 → 25 · Opponent scored 2 pts

Ended by: Tyler Harris makes 3-foot dunk

2-Pointer

3:33

2.0 pts

1H → 2Hnotable

Score: 31 → 33 · Opponent scored 3 pts

Ended by: AK Okereke makes 7-foot dunk (Tyler Nickel assists)

2-Pointer

3:06

3.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 25 → 27 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Tyler Tanner makes 13-foot pullup jump shot

2-Pointer

3:06

9.0 pts

Ole Miss Rebels

Ole Miss Rebels

2
1st Halfsignificant

Score: 2 → 4 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Corey Chest makes 0-foot tip in dunk

2-Pointer

4:18

5.0 pts

1st Halfsignificant

Score: 10 → 12 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Kezza Giffa makes layup

2-Pointer

4:06

5.0 pts