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Boise State Broncos

Boise State Broncos

Mountain WestG5

2025-26 Drought Profile · 24 games played · 20-11 (65%)

Boise State Broncos ranks 9th of 12 Mountain West teams in droughts per game (1.79 dpg, above the Mountain West average of 1.75). Their droughts average 3:48 — 0:07 below the Mountain West norm — and have allowed opponents an average of 7.0 pts per drought, contributing to 3 influenced losses (1 decisive/major) this season.

Drought Profile

Droughts/Game

1.79

Conf avg: 1.8 · #9 of 12 in Mountain West

9th in Mountain West

+0.04/game vs Mountain West avg

#9 in Mountain West (12 teams)

Avg Duration

3:48

Conf avg: 234.8 · #6 of 12 in Mountain West

-0:07 vs Mountain West avg

How long cold streaks typically last

Avg Pts Allowed

7.0

Conf avg: 7.3 · #7 of 12 in Mountain West

-0.3 pts vs Mountain West avg

Opponent points scored per drought

Game Impact

Influenced Losses

3

1 decisive/major — close losses where droughts swung the margin

Timeout Rate

35%

Coach called a timeout in 15 of 43 droughts

Record w/ 2+ Droughts

8-5

vs 12-6 in games with 0–1 droughts

Drought Trend This Season
Droughts per game over the season with a 3-game rolling average. Season average: 1.8 droughts/game.
When Droughts Happen
Shows when droughts begin in each 2-minute window throughout the game. Counts total to 43 droughts. Dashed line shows the conference average.
Half Breakdown
1st half vs 2nd half: does this team adjust at halftime or get worse?
1st Half
29
droughts · avg 3:54
2nd Half
14
droughts · avg 3:37
Drought Cost by Severity
How damaging are each tier of drought? Longer droughts allow more opponent points — see if critical ones truly hurt more.
Notable (3–4 min)
28
65% of droughts
5.5 pts allowed
Significant (4–5 min)
10
23% of droughts
9.7 pts allowed
Critical (5+ min)
5
12% of droughts
10 pts allowed

Avg. opponent points scored during drought

Notable (3–4 min)
5.5 pts
Significant (4–5 min)
9.7 pts
Critical (5+ min)
10 pts

Key Takeaway

Critical droughts allow 82% more points than notable ones (10 vs 5.5 pts). Longer droughts cost significantly more.

Drought-Ending Shots
What shot finally breaks the cold streak? Zone intensity = frequency.
3-PT(21%)2-PT(53%)FT(26%)
3-Ptr (9, 21%)2-Ptr (23, 53%)FT (11, 26%)
Score Differential by Game
Every game plotted over 40 minutes — positive = team leading, negative = trailing. Hover a game in the sidebar to highlight its path through the season.
Mar 11
San José State Spartansvs San José State Spartans
L 74–84
Mar 7
Colorado State Rams@ Colorado State Rams
W 78–67
Mar 3
San Diego State Aztecsvs San Diego State Aztecs
W 86–77
Feb 28
Fresno State Bulldogs@ Fresno State Bulldogs
W 69–53
Feb 24
Wyoming Cowboysvs Wyoming Cowboys
W 72–62
Feb 21
San José State Spartansvs San José State Spartans
W 84–69
Feb 18
Utah State Aggies@ Utah State Aggies
L 56–75
Feb 13
UNLV Rebelsvs UNLV Rebels
L 83–86
Feb 7
New Mexico Lobos@ New Mexico Lobos
W 91–90
Feb 3
Nevada Wolf Packvs Nevada Wolf Pack
W 91–87
Jan 30
Grand Canyon Lopes@ Grand Canyon Lopes
L 69–86
Jan 27
San José State Spartans@ San José State Spartans
W 89–58
Jan 24
Air Force Falconsvs Air Force Falcons
W 96–54
Jan 20
Wyoming Cowboys@ Wyoming Cowboys
W 81–65
Jan 16
Colorado State Ramsvs Colorado State Rams
W 79–73
Jan 13
UNLV Rebels@ UNLV Rebels
L 85–89
Jan 10
Utah State Aggiesvs Utah State Aggies
L 68–93
Jan 7
Grand Canyon Lopesvs Grand Canyon Lopes
L 58–75
Jan 3
San Diego State Aztecs@ San Diego State Aztecs
L 107–110
Dec 30
New Mexico Lobosvs New Mexico Lobos
W 62–53
Dec 20
Nevada Wolf Pack@ Nevada Wolf Pack
L 66–81
Dec 14
Saint Mary's Gaelsvs Saint Mary's Gaels
W 68–67
Dec 10
Duquesne Dukesvs Duquesne Dukes
W 86–64
Dec 6
Butler Bulldogs@ Butler Bulldogs
W 77–68
Nov 26
@ Chaminade Silverswords
W 102–76
Nov 25
NC State Wolfpackvs NC State Wolfpack
L 70–81
Nov 24
USC Trojansvs USC Trojans
L 67–70
Nov 18
Wichita State Shockersvs Wichita State Shockers
W 62–59
Nov 15
Montana State Bobcatsvs Montana State Bobcats
W 62–58
Nov 11
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaquerosvs UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros
W 85–65
Nov 8
Utah Valley Wolverinesvs Utah Valley Wolverines
W 101–77
← Opponent leading← Game time →Team leading →
Game Log
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
DateOpponentScore (H-A)Droughts
Mar 11San José State Spartansvs San José State SpartansL 74-840
Mar 7Colorado State Rams@ Colorado State RamsW 67-780
Mar 3San Diego State Aztecsvs San Diego State AztecsW 86-77
1
Feb 28Fresno State Bulldogs@ Fresno State BulldogsW 53-69
3
Feb 24Wyoming Cowboysvs Wyoming CowboysW 72-62
1
Feb 21San José State Spartansvs San José State SpartansW 84-69
1
Feb 18Utah State Aggies@ Utah State AggiesL 75-56
3
Feb 13UNLV Rebelsvs UNLV RebelsL 83-86
3
Feb 7New Mexico Lobos@ New Mexico LobosW 90-91
1
Feb 3Nevada Wolf Packvs Nevada Wolf PackW 91-87
2
Jan 30Grand Canyon Lopes@ Grand Canyon LopesL 86-69
2
Jan 27San José State Spartans@ San José State SpartansW 58-89
1
Jan 24Air Force Falconsvs Air Force FalconsW 96-540
Jan 20Wyoming Cowboys@ Wyoming CowboysW 65-81
2
Jan 16Colorado State Ramsvs Colorado State RamsW 79-73
2
Jan 13UNLV Rebels@ UNLV RebelsL 89-850
Jan 10Utah State Aggiesvs Utah State AggiesL 68-93
1
Jan 7Grand Canyon Lopesvs Grand Canyon LopesL 58-75
3
Jan 3San Diego State Aztecs@ San Diego State AztecsL 110-107
1
Dec 30New Mexico Lobosvs New Mexico LobosW 62-53
2
Dec 20Nevada Wolf Pack@ Nevada Wolf PackL 81-66
1
Dec 14Saint Mary's Gaelsvs Saint Mary's GaelsW 68-67
2
Dec 10Duquesne Dukesvs Duquesne DukesW 86-64
1
Dec 6Butler Bulldogs@ Butler BulldogsW 68-77
3
Nov 26@ Chaminade SilverswordsW 76-1020
Nov 25NC State Wolfpackvs NC State WolfpackL 70-81
3
Nov 24USC Trojansvs USC TrojansL 67-70
1
Nov 18Wichita State Shockersvs Wichita State ShockersW 62-590
Nov 15Montana State Bobcatsvs Montana State BobcatsW 62-58
2
Nov 11UT Rio Grande Valley Vaquerosvs UT Rio Grande Valley VaquerosW 85-65
1
Nov 8Utah Valley Wolverinesvs Utah Valley WolverinesW 101-770
Drought-Influenced Losses
Close losses (≤15 pts) where droughts significantly impacted the outcome. "Defensive cost" = points allowed during drought periods.
UNLV Rebelsvs UNLV RebelsL 83-86Feb 13
22 pts allowed during 3 droughts (25.6% of 3-pt margin)
Major Factor
NC State Wolfpackvs NC State WolfpackL 70-81Nov 25
19 pts allowed during 3 droughts (23.5% of 11-pt margin)
Significant Factor
San Diego State Aztecs@ San Diego State AztecsL 107-110Jan 3
9 pts allowed during 1 drought (8.2% of 3-pt margin)
Minor Factor
Drought Killers
Players who most often ended Boise State Broncos scoring droughts this season.
1
DA
Dylan Andrews
44% clutchⓘ
9
2
JB
Javan Buchanan
57% clutchⓘ
7
3
DF
Drew Fielder
29% clutchⓘ
7
4
SA
Spencer Ahrens
50% clutchⓘ
6
5
AM
Andrew Meadow
60% clutchⓘ
5
6
DP
Dominic Parolin
50% clutchⓘ
4
7
PC
Pearson Carmichael
100% clutchⓘ
3
8
AN
Aginaldo Neto
2
3PT
2PT
FT