Boise State Broncos at Fresno State Bulldogs

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Saturday, February 28, 2026

Conference game

Fresno State Bulldogs

Boise State Broncos

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Fresno State Bulldogs

High confidence

est. droughts

3:49

avg duration

pts/drought

est. 12 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Expected a drought, none occurred

Droughts

~2→0

-2

Pts ceded

~12→0

-12

Boise State Broncos

High confidence

est. droughts

3:48

avg duration

pts/drought

est. 10 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~1→3

Pts ceded

~10→15

Fresno State Bulldogs averages 1 droughts/game · Boise State Broncos forces 2 opp. droughts/game

Total droughts

Both teams combined

Fresno State Bulldogs droughts

Boise State Broncos droughts

4:05

Longest drought

Boise State Broncos

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Boise State Broncos drought cost

3 droughts • 15 pts drought cost

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)

Fresno State Bulldogs

No notable droughts

Boise State Broncos

1H → 2Hsignificant

Score: 28 → 30 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Javan Buchanan makes 6-foot jumper

2-Pointer

4:05

6.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 20 → 23 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Spencer Ahrens makes 26-foot three point jumper (Dylan Andrews assists)

3-Pointer

3:41

5.0 pts

2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 59 → 61 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Dominic Parolin makes 5-foot jumper

2-Pointer

3:09

4.0 pts