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Thursday, March 19, 2026

North Carolina Tar HeelsNorth Carolina Tar Heels

78

vs
VCU RamsVCU Rams

82

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

North Carolina Tar Heels

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:41

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 10 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As expected

Droughts

~1→1

+0

Pts ceded

~10→12

+2

VCU Rams

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:37

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 13 pts ceded/game

Final results

~ Worse than expected

Droughts

~2→2

+0

Pts ceded

~13→17

+4

North Carolina Tar Heels averages 1 droughts/game  · VCU Rams forces 1 opp. droughts/game

3

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

North Carolina Tar Heels droughts

2

VCU Rams droughts

3:46

Longest drought

VCU Rams

29

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

North Carolina Tar Heels drought cost

1 drought • 12 pts drought cost

12

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

VCU Rams drought cost

2 droughts • 17 pts drought cost

17

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
North Carolina Tar Heels

North Carolina Tar Heels

1
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 70 → 72 · Opponent scored 12 pts

Ended by: Derek Dixon makes 15-foot pullup jump shot (Seth Trimble assists)

2-Pointer

3:46

12.0 pts

VCU Rams

VCU Rams

2
1st HalfnotableTO called

Score: 18 → 20 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Brandon Jennings makes 9-foot floating jump shot

2-Pointer

3:46

9.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 21 → 24 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Terrence Hill Jr. makes 25-foot three pointer

3-Pointer

3:01

8.0 pts