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Wednesday, February 25, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Colgate Raiders

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:37

avg duration

6

pts/drought

est. 11 pts ceded/game

Final results

~ Worse than predicted

Droughts

~2→2

+0

Pts ceded

~11→9

-2

Lafayette Leopards

High confidence

2

est. droughts

4:05

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 12 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than predicted

Droughts

~2→3

+1

Pts ceded

~12→20

+8

Colgate Raiders averages 1 droughts/game  · Lafayette Leopards forces 2 opp. droughts/game

5

Total droughts

Both teams combined

2

Colgate Raiders droughts

3

Lafayette Leopards droughts

4:04

Longest drought

Lafayette Leopards

29

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Colgate Raiders drought cost

2 droughts • 9 pts drought cost

9

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Lafayette Leopards drought cost

3 droughts • 20 pts drought cost

20

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Colgate Raiders

Colgate Raiders

2
1st Halfnotable

Score: 9 → 11 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Josh Ahayere makes driving layup

2-Pointer

3:44

6.0 pts

1H → 2Hnotable

Score: 25 → 27 · Opponent scored 3 pts

Ended by: Josh Ahayere makes layup (Ben Tweedy assists)

2-Pointer

3:01

3.0 pts

Lafayette Leopards

Lafayette Leopards

3
2nd HalfsignificantTO called

Score: 34 → 36 · Opponent scored 10 pts

Ended by: Ryan Pettit makes 0-foot tip in layup

2-Pointer

4:04

10.0 pts

1st HalfnotableTO called

Score: 26 → 27 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Caleb Williams makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:19

8.0 pts

1H → 2Hnotable

Score: 31 → 34 · Opponent scored 2 pts

Ended by: Andrew Phillips makes 24-foot three point jumper (Mark Butler assists)

3-Pointer

3:18

2.0 pts