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Wednesday, February 25, 2026

Conference Game
Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Colgate Raiders

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:37

avg duration

6

pts/drought

est. 14 pts ceded/game

Final Results

As predicted

Droughts

~22

+0

Pts Ceded

~149

-5

Lafayette Leopards

High confidence

2

est. droughts

4:05

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 14 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Much worse than predicted

Droughts

~23

+1

Pts Ceded

~1420

+6

Colgate Raiders averages 2 droughts/game  · Lafayette Leopards forces 2 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

5

Both teams combined

Colgate Raiders Droughts

2

Lafayette Leopards Droughts

3

Longest Drought

4:04

Lafayette Leopards

Drought Point Swing

29

Total unanswered points during droughts

Colgate Raiders Drought Impact

2 droughts9 unanswered points allowed

9.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Lafayette Leopards Drought Impact

3 droughts20 unanswered points allowed

20.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Colgate Raiders

Colgate Raiders

2
1st Halfnotable

Score: 911 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Josh Ahayere makes driving layup

2-Pointer

3:44

10.5 opp pts

1H → 2Hnotable

Score: 2527 · Opponent scored 3 pts

Ended by: Josh Ahayere makes layup (Ben Tweedy assists)

2-Pointer

3:01

6.6 opp pts

Lafayette Leopards

Lafayette Leopards

3
2nd HalfsignificantTO called

Score: 3436 · Opponent scored 10 pts

Ended by: Ryan Pettit makes 0-foot tip in layup

2-Pointer

4:04

14.5 opp pts

1st HalfnotableTO called

Score: 2627 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Caleb Williams makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:19

11.6 opp pts

1H → 2Hnotable

Score: 3134 · Opponent scored 2 pts

Ended by: Andrew Phillips makes 24-foot three point jumper (Mark Butler assists)

3-Pointer

3:18

5.6 opp pts