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Wednesday, December 31, 2025

Conference game

Drought outlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Lafayette Leopards

High confidence

2

est. droughts

4:05

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 12 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Better than predicted

Droughts

~2→1

-1

Pts ceded

~12→5

-7

Colgate Raiders

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:37

avg duration

6

pts/drought

est. 11 pts ceded/game

Final results

~ Worse than predicted

Droughts

~2→2

+0

Pts ceded

~11→4

-7

Lafayette Leopards averages 2 droughts/game  · Colgate Raiders forces 1 opp. droughts/game

3

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

Lafayette Leopards droughts

2

Colgate Raiders droughts

4:22

Longest drought

Lafayette Leopards

9

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Colgate Raiders drought cost

2 droughts • 4 pts drought cost

4

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Lafayette Leopards drought cost

1 drought • 5 pts drought cost

5

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Lafayette Leopards

Lafayette Leopards

1
2nd Halfsignificant

Score: 69 → 70 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Shareef Jackson makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

4:22

5.0 pts

Colgate Raiders

Colgate Raiders

2
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 70 → 73 · Opponent scored 0 pts

Ended by: Sam Wright makes 24-foot three point jumper (Kyle Carlesimo assists)

3-Pointer

3:36

0.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 9 → 10 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Josh Ahayere makes free throw 2 of 2

Free Throw

3:01

4.0 pts