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Wednesday, January 7, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Colgate Raiders

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:37

avg duration

6

pts/drought

est. 12 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~2→3

+1

Pts ceded

~12→18

+6

American University Eagles

High confidence

2

est. droughts

4:00

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 11 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Expected a drought, none occurred

Droughts

~2→0

-2

Pts ceded

~11→0

-11

Colgate Raiders averages 1 droughts/game  · American University Eagles forces 2 opp. droughts/game

3

Total droughts

Both teams combined

3

Colgate Raiders droughts

0

American University Eagles droughts

4:43

Longest drought

Colgate Raiders

18

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Colgate Raiders drought cost

3 droughts • 18 pts drought cost

18

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Colgate Raiders

Colgate Raiders

3
1st Halfsignificant

Score: 22 → 24 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Ben Tweedy makes layup (Josh Ahayere assists)

2-Pointer

4:43

8.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 46 → 48 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Sam Wright makes layup (Ben Tweedy assists)

2-Pointer

3:13

5.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 11 → 14 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Ethan Brown makes 24-foot three point jumper (Kyle Carlesimo assists)

3-Pointer

3:01

5.0 pts

American University Eagles

American University Eagles

0

No notable droughts