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Tuesday, December 16, 2025

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Cal Poly Mustangs

High confidence

1

est. droughts

4:15

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 12 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~1→2

+1

Pts ceded

~12→18

+6

Montana State Bobcats

Moderate confidence

1

est. droughts

4:01

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 7 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ No drought, as expected

Droughts

~1→0

-1

Pts ceded

~7→0

-7

Cal Poly Mustangs averages 1 droughts/game  · Montana State Bobcats forces 2 opp. droughts/game

2

Total droughts

Both teams combined

2

Cal Poly Mustangs droughts

0

Montana State Bobcats droughts

4:20

Longest drought

Cal Poly Mustangs

18

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Cal Poly Mustangs drought cost

2 droughts • 18 pts drought cost

18

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Cal Poly Mustangs

Cal Poly Mustangs

2
1st Halfsignificant

Score: 17 → 18 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Hamad Mousa makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

4:20

6.0 pts

2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 59 → 61 · Opponent scored 12 pts

Ended by: Foul on Chris Hodges.

Other

3:38

12.0 pts

Montana State Bobcats

Montana State Bobcats

0

No notable droughts