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Sunday, December 21, 2025

Cal Poly MustangsCal Poly Mustangs

80

vs
Idaho VandalsIdaho Vandals

83

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Cal Poly Mustangs

High confidence

1

est. droughts

4:15

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 10 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~1→2

+1

Pts ceded

~10→8

-2

Idaho Vandals

Moderate confidence

1

est. droughts

4:02

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 9 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Unexpected drought

Droughts

~1→2

+1

Pts ceded

~9→18

+9

Cal Poly Mustangs averages 1 droughts/game  · Idaho Vandals forces 1 opp. droughts/game

4

Total droughts

Both teams combined

2

Cal Poly Mustangs droughts

2

Idaho Vandals droughts

5:41

Longest drought

Idaho Vandals

26

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Cal Poly Mustangs drought cost

2 droughts • 8 pts drought cost

8

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Idaho Vandals drought cost

2 droughts • 18 pts drought cost

18

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Cal Poly Mustangs

Cal Poly Mustangs

2
1st Halfsignificant

Score: 9 → 11 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Hamad Mousa makes layup

2-Pointer

4:10

4.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 5 → 8 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Austin Goode makes 25-foot three point jumper (Peter Bandelj assists)

3-Pointer

3:16

4.0 pts

Idaho Vandals

Idaho Vandals

2
2nd HalfcriticalTO called

Score: 67 → 68 · Opponent scored 14 pts

Ended by: Biko Johnson makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

5:41

14.0 pts

1st Halfsignificant

Score: 12 → 15 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Kolton Mitchell makes 24-foot three point jumper (Jackson Rasmussen assists)

3-Pointer

4:03

4.0 pts