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Tuesday, December 16, 2025

Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Michigan State Spartans

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:56

avg duration

6

pts/drought

est. 11 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Better than predicted

Droughts

~21

-1

Pts Ceded

~117

-4

Toledo Rockets

High confidence

2

est. droughts

4:01

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 18 pts ceded/game

Final Results

As predicted

Droughts

~22

+0

Pts Ceded

~1810

-8

Michigan State Spartans averages 2 droughts/game  · Toledo Rockets forces 1 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

3

Both teams combined

Michigan State Spartans Droughts

1

Toledo Rockets Droughts

2

Longest Drought

3:48

Toledo Rockets

Drought Point Swing

17

Total unanswered points during droughts

1 drought7 unanswered points allowed

7.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Toledo Rockets Drought Impact

2 droughts10 unanswered points allowed

10.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Michigan State Spartans

Michigan State Spartans

1
2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 7880 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Jesse McCulloch makes 4-foot dunk (Jordan Scott assists)

2-Pointer

3:48

15.7 opp pts

Toledo Rockets

Toledo Rockets

2
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 4244 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Sonny Wilson makes layup

2-Pointer

3:48

11.6 opp pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 2426 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Sonny Wilson makes 11-foot jumper

2-Pointer

3:45

11.5 opp pts