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Tuesday, December 16, 2025

Michigan State SpartansMichigan State Spartans

92

vs
Toledo RocketsToledo Rockets

69

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Michigan State Spartans

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:53

avg duration

6

pts/drought

est. 8 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As expected

Droughts

~1→1

+0

Pts ceded

~8→7

-1

Toledo Rockets

High confidence

2

est. droughts

4:01

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 13 pts ceded/game

Final results

~ Worse than expected

Droughts

~2→2

+0

Pts ceded

~13→10

-3

Michigan State Spartans averages 1 droughts/game  · Toledo Rockets forces 1 opp. droughts/game

3

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

Michigan State Spartans droughts

2

Toledo Rockets droughts

3:48

Longest drought

Toledo Rockets

17

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Michigan State Spartans drought cost

1 drought • 7 pts drought cost

7

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Toledo Rockets drought cost

2 droughts • 10 pts drought cost

10

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Michigan State Spartans

Michigan State Spartans

1
2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 78 → 80 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Jesse McCulloch makes 4-foot dunk (Jordan Scott assists)

2-Pointer

3:48

7.0 pts

Toledo Rockets

Toledo Rockets

2
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 42 → 44 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Sonny Wilson makes layup

2-Pointer

3:48

5.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 24 → 26 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Sonny Wilson makes 11-foot jumper

2-Pointer

3:45

5.0 pts