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Saturday, March 7, 2026

Conference game
Duke Blue DevilsDuke Blue Devils

76

vs
North Carolina Tar HeelsNorth Carolina Tar Heels

61

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Duke Blue Devils

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:29

avg duration

6

pts/drought

est. 8 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Expected a drought, none occurred

Droughts

~1→0

-1

Pts ceded

~8→0

-8

North Carolina Tar Heels

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:41

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 16 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~2→3

+1

Pts ceded

~16→33

+17

Duke Blue Devils averages 1 droughts/game  · North Carolina Tar Heels forces 2 opp. droughts/game

3

Total droughts

Both teams combined

0

Duke Blue Devils droughts

3

North Carolina Tar Heels droughts

6:10

Longest drought

North Carolina Tar Heels

33

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

North Carolina Tar Heels drought cost

3 droughts • 33 pts drought cost

33

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Duke Blue Devils

Duke Blue Devils

0

No notable droughts

North Carolina Tar Heels

North Carolina Tar Heels

3
2nd HalfcriticalTO called

Score: 44 → 46 · Opponent scored 16 pts

Ended by: Seth Trimble makes 2-foot dunk (Zayden High assists)

2-Pointer

6:10

16.0 pts

2nd Halfcritical

Score: 46 → 48 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Jaydon Young makes layup (Seth Trimble assists)

2-Pointer

5:09

8.0 pts

1st Halfcritical

Score: 13 → 15 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Jarin Stevenson makes layup (Henri Veesaar assists)

2-Pointer

5:07

9.0 pts