Monday, February 23, 2026
Conference gameDrought outlookSeason rates vs final result
North Carolina Tar Heels
High confidence2
est. droughts
3:41
avg duration
7
pts/drought
est. 12 pts ceded/game
Final results
✓ Better than expectedDroughts
-1
Pts ceded
-3
Louisville Cardinals
High confidence2
est. droughts
3:36
avg duration
7
pts/drought
est. 13 pts ceded/game
Final results
✗ Much worse than expectedDroughts
+2
Pts ceded
+17
North Carolina Tar Heels averages 1 droughts/game · Louisville Cardinals forces 2 opp. droughts/game
5
Total droughts
Both teams combined
1
North Carolina Tar Heels droughts
4
Louisville Cardinals droughts
4:15
Longest drought
Louisville Cardinals
39
Drought point swing
Total drought cost (pts)
Louisville Cardinals drought cost
4 droughts • 30 pts drought cost
30
Drought cost (pts)
Actual point differential change
North Carolina Tar Heels drought cost
1 drought • 9 pts drought cost
9
Drought cost (pts)
Actual point differential change
Game timeline
All droughts
North Carolina Tar Heels
1Score: 56 → 59 · Opponent scored 9 pts
Ended by: Jarin Stevenson makes 25-foot three point jumper (Kyan Evans assists)
3-Pointer3:23
9.0 pts
Louisville Cardinals
4Score: 40 → 42 · Opponent scored 10 pts
Ended by: Ryan Conwell makes driving layup
2-Pointer4:15
10.0 pts
Score: 23 → 25 · Opponent scored 8 pts
Ended by: Ryan Conwell makes driving layup
2-Pointer3:37
8.0 pts
Score: 38 → 39 · Opponent scored 6 pts
Ended by: Sananda Fru makes free throw 1 of 2
Free Throw3:23
6.0 pts
Score: 27 → 29 · Opponent scored 6 pts
Ended by: Vangelis Zougris makes 12-foot jumper
2-Pointer3:01
6.0 pts