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Saturday, February 7, 2026

Conference Game
Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

North Carolina Tar Heels

High confidence

3

est. droughts

3:41

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 25 pts ceded/game

Final Results

As predicted

Droughts

~33

+0

Pts Ceded

~2521

-4

Duke Blue Devils

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:25

avg duration

5

pts/drought

est. 12 pts ceded/game

Final Results

~ Worse than predicted

Droughts

~23

+1

Pts Ceded

~1217

+5

North Carolina Tar Heels averages 2 droughts/game  · Duke Blue Devils forces 2 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

6

Both teams combined

North Carolina Tar Heels Droughts

3

Duke Blue Devils Droughts

3

Longest Drought

3:48

Duke Blue Devils

Drought Point Swing

38

Total unanswered points during droughts

Duke Blue Devils Drought Impact

3 droughts17 unanswered points allowed

17.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

3 droughts21 unanswered points allowed

21.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
North Carolina Tar Heels

North Carolina Tar Heels

3
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 5355 · Opponent scored 3 pts

Ended by: Henri Veesaar makes 10-foot jumper

2-Pointer

3:37

9.4 opp pts

1st HalfnotableTO called

Score: 57 · Opponent scored 10 pts

Ended by: Caleb Wilson makes 16-foot turnaround jump shot

2-Pointer

3:26

16.1 opp pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 2729 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Caleb Wilson makes 20-foot pullup jump shot

2-Pointer

3:08

13.6 opp pts

Duke Blue Devils

Duke Blue Devils

3
1st Halfnotable

Score: 2223 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Dame Sarr makes free throw 2 of 2

Free Throw

3:48

15.5 opp pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 5962 · Opponent scored 3 pts

Ended by: Cameron Boozer makes 27-foot three point jumper (Cayden Boozer assists)

3-Pointer

3:30

8.9 opp pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 6264 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Cayden Boozer makes layup

2-Pointer

3:21

10.7 opp pts