Saturday, February 7, 2026
Conference gameDrought outlookSeason rates vs final result
North Carolina Tar Heels
High confidence2
est. droughts
3:41
avg duration
7
pts/drought
est. 16 pts ceded/game
Final results
~ Worse than expectedDroughts
+1
Pts ceded
+5
Duke Blue Devils
High confidence1
est. droughts
3:29
avg duration
6
pts/drought
est. 8 pts ceded/game
Final results
✗ Much worse than expectedDroughts
+2
Pts ceded
+9
North Carolina Tar Heels averages 1 droughts/game · Duke Blue Devils forces 2 opp. droughts/game
6
Total droughts
Both teams combined
3
North Carolina Tar Heels droughts
3
Duke Blue Devils droughts
3:48
Longest drought
Duke Blue Devils
38
Drought point swing
Total drought cost (pts)
Duke Blue Devils drought cost
3 droughts • 17 pts drought cost
17
Drought cost (pts)
Actual point differential change
North Carolina Tar Heels drought cost
3 droughts • 21 pts drought cost
21
Drought cost (pts)
Actual point differential change
Game timeline
All droughts
North Carolina Tar Heels
3Score: 53 → 55 · Opponent scored 3 pts
Ended by: Henri Veesaar makes 10-foot jumper
2-Pointer3:37
3.0 pts
Score: 5 → 7 · Opponent scored 10 pts
Ended by: Caleb Wilson makes 16-foot turnaround jump shot
2-Pointer3:26
10.0 pts
Score: 27 → 29 · Opponent scored 8 pts
Ended by: Caleb Wilson makes 20-foot pullup jump shot
2-Pointer3:08
8.0 pts
Duke Blue Devils
3Score: 22 → 23 · Opponent scored 9 pts
Ended by: Dame Sarr makes free throw 2 of 2
Free Throw3:48
9.0 pts
Score: 59 → 62 · Opponent scored 3 pts
Ended by: Cameron Boozer makes 27-foot three point jumper (Cayden Boozer assists)
3-Pointer3:30
3.0 pts
Score: 62 → 64 · Opponent scored 5 pts
Ended by: Cayden Boozer makes layup
2-Pointer3:21
5.0 pts