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Monday, February 2, 2026

Conference Game
North Carolina Tar HeelsNorth Carolina Tar Heels

87

vs
Syracuse OrangeSyracuse Orange

77

Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

North Carolina Tar Heels

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:41

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 9 pts ceded/game

Final Results

✗ Predicted drought — none occurred

Droughts

~1→0

-1

Pts Ceded

~9→0

-9

Syracuse Orange

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:41

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 13 pts ceded/game

Final Results

✗ Much worse than predicted

Droughts

~2→3

+1

Pts Ceded

~13→30

+17

North Carolina Tar Heels averages 1droughts/game  · Syracuse Orange forces 1 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

3

Both teams combined

North Carolina Tar Heels Droughts

0

Syracuse Orange Droughts

3

Longest Drought

4:41

Syracuse Orange

Drought Point Swing

30

Total unanswered points during droughts

Syracuse Orange Drought Impact

3 droughts • 30 unanswered points allowed

30

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
North Carolina Tar Heels

North Carolina Tar Heels

0

No notable droughts

Syracuse Orange

Syracuse Orange

3
1st Halfsignificant

Score: 2 → 4 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Donnie Freeman makes 13-foot turnaround jump shot

2-Pointer

4:41

18.0 opp pts

2nd HalfsignificantTO called

Score: 40 → 41 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Donnie Freeman makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

4:14

17.1 opp pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 29 → 32 · Opponent scored 12 pts

Ended by: Donnie Freeman makes 25-foot three point jumper

3-Pointer

3:05

17.9 opp pts