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Monday, February 2, 2026

Conference game
North Carolina Tar HeelsNorth Carolina Tar Heels

87

vs
Syracuse OrangeSyracuse Orange

77

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

North Carolina Tar Heels

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:41

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 9 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Expected a drought, none occurred

Droughts

~1→0

-1

Pts ceded

~9→0

-9

Syracuse Orange

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:41

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 13 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~2→3

+1

Pts ceded

~13→30

+17

North Carolina Tar Heels averages 1 droughts/game  · Syracuse Orange forces 1 opp. droughts/game

3

Total droughts

Both teams combined

0

North Carolina Tar Heels droughts

3

Syracuse Orange droughts

4:41

Longest drought

Syracuse Orange

30

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Syracuse Orange drought cost

3 droughts • 30 pts drought cost

30

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
North Carolina Tar Heels

North Carolina Tar Heels

0

No notable droughts

Syracuse Orange

Syracuse Orange

3
1st Halfsignificant

Score: 2 → 4 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Donnie Freeman makes 13-foot turnaround jump shot

2-Pointer

4:41

9.0 pts

2nd HalfsignificantTO called

Score: 40 → 41 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Donnie Freeman makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

4:14

9.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 29 → 32 · Opponent scored 12 pts

Ended by: Donnie Freeman makes 25-foot three point jumper

3-Pointer

3:05

12.0 pts