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Wednesday, January 21, 2026

Conference game
North Carolina Tar HeelsNorth Carolina Tar Heels

91

vs
Notre Dame Fighting IrishNotre Dame Fighting Irish

69

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

North Carolina Tar Heels

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:41

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 11 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Expected a drought, none occurred

Droughts

~2→0

-2

Pts ceded

~11→0

-11

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:35

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 12 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~2→3

+1

Pts ceded

~12→22

+10

North Carolina Tar Heels averages 1 droughts/game  · Notre Dame Fighting Irish forces 2 opp. droughts/game

3

Total droughts

Both teams combined

0

North Carolina Tar Heels droughts

3

Notre Dame Fighting Irish droughts

3:48

Longest drought

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

22

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Notre Dame Fighting Irish drought cost

3 droughts • 22 pts drought cost

22

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
North Carolina Tar Heels

North Carolina Tar Heels

0

No notable droughts

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

3
1st HalfnotableTO called

Score: 10 → 13 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Garrett Sundra makes 25-foot three point jumper (Carson Towt assists)

3-Pointer

3:48

7.0 pts

1H → 2HnotableTO called

Score: 33 → 35 · Opponent scored 10 pts

Ended by: Carson Towt makes layup

2-Pointer

3:17

10.0 pts

1st HalfnotableTO called

Score: 15 → 17 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Jalen Haralson makes layup (Braeden Shrewsberry assists)

2-Pointer

3:06

5.0 pts