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Saturday, January 17, 2026

Conference Game
Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

California Golden Bears

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:49

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 19 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Much better than predicted

Droughts

~21

-1

Pts Ceded

~197

-12

North Carolina Tar Heels

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:41

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 13 pts ceded/game

Final Results

As predicted

Droughts

~22

+0

Pts Ceded

~1315

+2

California Golden Bears averages 2 droughts/game  · North Carolina Tar Heels forces 2 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

3

Both teams combined

California Golden Bears Droughts

1

North Carolina Tar Heels Droughts

2

Longest Drought

4:18

North Carolina Tar Heels

Drought Point Swing

22

Total unanswered points during droughts

1 drought7 unanswered points allowed

7.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

2 droughts15 unanswered points allowed

15.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
California Golden Bears

California Golden Bears

1
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 6366 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Mantas Kocanas makes 25-foot three point jumper (Dai Dai Ames assists)

3-Pointer

3:07

13.5 opp pts

North Carolina Tar Heels

North Carolina Tar Heels

2
1st HalfsignificantTO called

Score: 1315 · Opponent scored 11 pts

Ended by: Caleb Wilson makes layup (Luka Bogavac assists)

2-Pointer

4:18

19.4 opp pts

2nd Halfsignificant

Score: 5255 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Derek Dixon makes 24-foot three point jumper (Caleb Wilson assists)

3-Pointer

4:16

12.3 opp pts