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Saturday, February 21, 2026

Conference game
Columbia LionsColumbia Lions

63

vs
Dartmouth Big GreenDartmouth Big Green

64

Drought outlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Columbia Lions

High confidence

1

est. droughts

4:05

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 10 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than predicted

Droughts

~1→4

+3

Pts ceded

~10→18

+8

Dartmouth Big Green

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:42

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 13 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Better than predicted

Droughts

~2→1

-1

Pts ceded

~13→2

-11

Columbia Lions averages 2 droughts/game  · Dartmouth Big Green forces 1 opp. droughts/game

5

Total droughts

Both teams combined

4

Columbia Lions droughts

1

Dartmouth Big Green droughts

4:35

Longest drought

Columbia Lions

20

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Columbia Lions drought cost

4 droughts • 18 pts drought cost

18

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Dartmouth Big Green drought cost

1 drought • 2 pts drought cost

2

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Columbia Lions

Columbia Lions

4
2nd Halfsignificant

Score: 32 → 35 · Opponent scored 11 pts

Ended by: Blair Thompson makes 24-foot three point jumper (Kenny Noland assists)

3-Pointer

4:35

11.0 pts

1H → 2Hsignificant

Score: 28 → 30 · Opponent scored 3 pts

Ended by: Kenny Noland makes driving layup

2-Pointer

4:09

3.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 8 → 10 · Opponent scored 2 pts

Ended by: Leland Coleman makes layup

2-Pointer

3:11

2.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 59 → 61 · Opponent scored 2 pts

Ended by: Kenny Noland makes driving layup (Mason Ritter assists)

2-Pointer

3:07

2.0 pts

Dartmouth Big Green

Dartmouth Big Green

1
1st Halfnotable

Score: 4 → 6 · Opponent scored 2 pts

Ended by: Cameron McNamee makes driving layup (Nikola Abusara assists)

2-Pointer

3:01

2.0 pts