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Monday, December 22, 2025

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

North Carolina Tar Heels

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:41

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 9 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Expected a drought, none occurred

Droughts

~1→0

-1

Pts ceded

~9→0

-9

East Carolina Pirates

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:51

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 14 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~2→4

+2

Pts ceded

~14→42

+28

North Carolina Tar Heels averages 1 droughts/game  · East Carolina Pirates forces 1 opp. droughts/game

4

Total droughts

Both teams combined

0

North Carolina Tar Heels droughts

4

East Carolina Pirates droughts

5:27

Longest drought

East Carolina Pirates

42

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

East Carolina Pirates drought cost

4 droughts • 42 pts drought cost

42

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
North Carolina Tar Heels

North Carolina Tar Heels

0

No notable droughts

East Carolina Pirates

East Carolina Pirates

4
1st Halfcritical

Score: 2 → 4 · Opponent scored 12 pts

Ended by: Luke Davis makes 17-foot jumper (Isaiah Mbeng assists)

2-Pointer

5:27

12.0 pts

2nd Halfsignificant

Score: 46 → 49 · Opponent scored 14 pts

Ended by: Vito Perkovic makes 27-foot three point jumper (Isaiah Mbeng assists)

3-Pointer

4:45

14.0 pts

1H → 2Hsignificant

Score: 26 → 28 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Giovanni Emejuru makes 1-foot dunk (Tybo Bailey assists)

2-Pointer

4:09

8.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 28 → 30 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Giovanni Emejuru makes layup (Isaiah Mbeng assists)

2-Pointer

3:33

8.0 pts