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Tuesday, December 16, 2025

North Carolina Tar HeelsNorth Carolina Tar Heels

77

vs
East Tennessee State BuccaneersEast Tennessee State Buccaneers

58

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

North Carolina Tar Heels

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:41

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 12 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Expected a drought, none occurred

Droughts

~2→0

-2

Pts ceded

~12→0

-12

East Tennessee State Buccaneers

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:58

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 11 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~2→3

+1

Pts ceded

~11→25

+14

North Carolina Tar Heels averages 1 droughts/game  · East Tennessee State Buccaneers forces 2 opp. droughts/game

3

Total droughts

Both teams combined

0

North Carolina Tar Heels droughts

3

East Tennessee State Buccaneers droughts

4:59

Longest drought

East Tennessee State Buccaneers

25

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

East Tennessee State Buccaneers drought cost

3 droughts • 25 pts drought cost

25

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
North Carolina Tar Heels

North Carolina Tar Heels

0

No notable droughts

East Tennessee State Buccaneers

East Tennessee State Buccaneers

3
2nd HalfsignificantTO called

Score: 39 → 42 · Opponent scored 15 pts

Ended by: Maki Johnson makes 27-foot three point jumper (Brian Taylor II assists)

3-Pointer

4:59

15.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 9 → 12 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Jaylen Smith makes 29-foot three point jumper

3-Pointer

3:27

4.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 21 → 23 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Jordan McCullum makes layup

2-Pointer

3:05

6.0 pts