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Sunday, December 7, 2025

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

North Carolina Tar Heels

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:41

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 11 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~1→3

+2

Pts ceded

~11→3

-8

Georgetown Hoyas

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:47

avg duration

6

pts/drought

est. 10 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Better than expected

Droughts

~2→1

-1

Pts ceded

~10→8

-2

North Carolina Tar Heels averages 1 droughts/game  · Georgetown Hoyas forces 2 opp. droughts/game

4

Total droughts

Both teams combined

3

North Carolina Tar Heels droughts

1

Georgetown Hoyas droughts

4:29

Longest drought

Georgetown Hoyas

11

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Georgetown Hoyas drought cost

1 drought • 8 pts drought cost

8

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

North Carolina Tar Heels drought cost

3 droughts • 3 pts drought cost

3

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
North Carolina Tar Heels

North Carolina Tar Heels

3
1st Halfnotable

Score: 30 → 32 · Opponent scored 3 pts

Ended by: Jonathan Powell made Jumper.

2-Pointer

3:27

3.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 65 → 68 · Opponent scored 0 pts

Ended by: Luka Bogavac made Three Point Jumper. Assisted by Derek Dixon.

3-Pointer

3:13

0.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 79 → 81 · Opponent scored 0 pts

Ended by: Luka Bogavac made Layup. Assisted by Kyan Evans.

2-Pointer

3:07

0.0 pts

Georgetown Hoyas

Georgetown Hoyas

1
2nd Halfsignificant

Score: 54 → 55 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Julius Halaifonua made Free Throw.

Free Throw

4:29

8.0 pts