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Thursday, November 27, 2025

North Carolina Tar HeelsNorth Carolina Tar Heels

58

vs
Michigan State SpartansMichigan State Spartans

74

Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

North Carolina Tar Heels

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:41

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 17 pts ceded/game

Final Results

✗ Much worse than predicted

Droughts

~2→3

+1

Pts Ceded

~17→26

+9

Michigan State Spartans

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:56

avg duration

6

pts/drought

est. 15 pts ceded/game

Final Results

✓ Better than predicted

Droughts

~2→1

-1

Pts Ceded

~15→8

-7

North Carolina Tar Heels averages 2 droughts/game  · Michigan State Spartans forces 2 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

4

Both teams combined

North Carolina Tar Heels Droughts

3

Michigan State Spartans Droughts

1

Longest Drought

4:42

North Carolina Tar Heels

Drought Point Swing

34

Total unanswered points during droughts

Michigan State Spartans Drought Impact

1 drought • 8 unanswered points allowed

8.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

North Carolina Tar Heels Drought Impact

3 droughts • 26 unanswered points allowed

26.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
North Carolina Tar Heels

North Carolina Tar Heels

3
1st HalfsignificantTO called

Score: 22 → 25 · Opponent scored 13 pts

Ended by: Luka Bogavac made Three Point Jumper.

3-Pointer

4:42

19.8 opp pts

2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 52 → 54 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Caleb Wilson made Dunk.

2-Pointer

3:49

14.5 opp pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 56 → 57 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Caleb Wilson made Free Throw.

Free Throw

3:02

8.4 opp pts

Michigan State Spartans

Michigan State Spartans

1
1st HalfsignificantTO called

Score: 15 → 17 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Jeremy Fears Jr. made Layup.

2-Pointer

4:36

16.5 opp pts