Michigan State Spartans at North Carolina Tar Heels

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Thursday, November 27, 2025

North Carolina Tar Heels

Michigan State Spartans

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

North Carolina Tar Heels

High confidence

est. droughts

3:41

avg duration

pts/drought

est. 11 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~2→3

Pts ceded

~11→26

+15

Michigan State Spartans

High confidence

est. droughts

3:53

avg duration

pts/drought

est. 12 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Better than expected

Droughts

~2→1

-1

Pts ceded

~12→8

-4

North Carolina Tar Heels averages 1 droughts/game · Michigan State Spartans forces 2 opp. droughts/game

Total droughts

Both teams combined

North Carolina Tar Heels droughts

Michigan State Spartans droughts

4:42

Longest drought

North Carolina Tar Heels

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Michigan State Spartans drought cost

1 drought • 8 pts drought cost

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

North Carolina Tar Heels drought cost

3 droughts • 26 pts drought cost

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)

North Carolina Tar Heels

1st HalfsignificantTO called

Score: 22 → 25 · Opponent scored 13 pts

Ended by: Luka Bogavac made Three Point Jumper.

3-Pointer

4:42

13.0 pts

2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 52 → 54 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Caleb Wilson made Dunk.

2-Pointer

3:49

9.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 56 → 57 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Caleb Wilson made Free Throw.

Free Throw

3:02

4.0 pts